Thursday, June 30, 2016

MONTHLY AND YTD WRAP UP FOR 6/30/2016


(double click for larger view (I hope))

Here's the big winner's in my 77 markets I keep track of for the past month, I seem to have heard of GDX before, and if you think that's a gas, well UNG came in second at 20%, the best Country "ETF" (not Country Per Sec) was Brazil, up 17.50%, our best major market was on the first page, TLT up 6.5% as investor's were fleeing to the safety of bonds when they weren't making ridiculous moves in stock markets, and speaking of those the Big Boys werethe winner, DIA up a MASSIVE .92% in 40th place, hhhhhmmmmmm, with all the yelling and screaming out of Bubblevision I could have sworn it HAD to be up at LEAST 10 percent, the second place MASSIVE winner was the SPY, up .14% for the month, wow, I am dutifully impressed ....... and the third place winner was, aaaaaahhhhhh, it was, eeeeeeeeeerrrrrr, oh, there was non ........................


Here's the big loser's for the month, I don't count XIV although it gets TON's of play, Ireland had a MUCH worse month than Britain, maybe it should have been called Ire-EXIT?? England did make the first page down in 19th, EWU minus 1.73% for the month, just slightly better than our major loser's for the month, the NasDOGS, QQQ down 2.29%, IWM came in third at minus .69%, kind of a sexy number there. Amazing, wad not, that there were 11 Country ETF's on that list that were worst than EWU last month, hahahahaha, our worst sector was the Transports, IYT down 3.65% on the month, then financials with XLF down 3.46%.


Since we are half way through the year here's the YTD winner's, that damn GDX keeps showing up in the top spot, up 101.97%, utilities are the best sector with XLU up 23.14%, then the FLEE TO sector, bonds, TLT up 16.34%, the DIA was once again the big winner in our majors, up 4.19%, then SPY at 3.82%, IWM at 2.40%, with the NasDOGS coming in last at, eeeeeerrrrrrrr, MINUS, 3.32%, not a good year so far for the DOG's .................


There's 35 YTD loser's so far, and it's REALLY surprising, to ME, to see VXX at the top, AND, XIV down in 15th spot, man, are those things pieces of shite or what???? How in the HELL can BOTH of them be DOWN?? Ireland lost the Country battle to Italy, lucky them, Britain is 19th on the YTD list as well, down 2.40%, better than the NasDOGS at least, there's only ONE sector on the first page loser's, that's XLF at minus 3.05%. 


Here's the monthly winners in the SP 500, mostly for the buy high and try and find a sucker to buy it even higher crowd, and Hershey's almost found one, a sucker that is, as Mondelez is making a bid for HSY's 49.58 P/E, hahahahahahaha, what a fricking VALUE bid, wooo hooooo! Are we getting a little frothy here, eeehhh?? HSY actually IS a bargin when compared to NEM's 209.20 P/E, the number two stock is sporting a sporty little 2.84 P/E, but RIG is projected to LOSE .53 cents a share for the next year, so who in their right mind would pay up for it??


Here's the monthly loser's, I NO go bottom fishing on symbols I DON'T recognize, which means I have to go all the way down to number 19 before I'll look at some thing, that's COF, and I don't "DO" that thing, so ........


Here's the YTD winner's in the S and P 500, NEM moved up to numero UNO, but that may be in the TTM P/E category though, hahahahaha, and, HEY, look at that, FCX is in the numero FIVE spot, and since they are LOSING $12.17 a share and have NO TTM P/E, does that mean they are cheaper than NEM's 209????? I, USUALLY, don't go ALL IN on a Company that's losing more money per share than what their stock price per share is, SO, all I can say is that I'm NOT "ALL IN" on it ................


Here's the YTD loser's, CF just bugs me mmmaaaannnnn, but like I said before I just can't take some thing that can be a Russian hostage. I really see nothing else on the list that's interesting, accept maybe FSLR, as how in the world can one of Obama's great ideas be performing poorly????

Speaking of P/E's, here's a fun little item on the Peter Lynch happy hunting ground of having a P/E under 15 :


There's actually 114 stocks in the S and P 500 with TTM P/E's of under 15, and the six on this list are the only ones with revenue growth of over 20% the last five years, which I, THINK, is another of his "parameters", it's surprising how BAD they are doing this year, there's only ONE that's higher, and as I remember it was one of the single most HATED stocks earlier in the year, KORS up 23.51% YTD, funny stuff ain't it ..............................

I also did  a scan of stocks with a FORWARD P/E of 15 or under, but I'm not saying shite about them because if you remember, and I'm SURE you do, S and P, or Standard and Poors, said, at the beginning of 2015, that the S and P 500 was going to earn $137 a SHARE, and it ended up earning $86.53 for the full year, that's 37 F##KING percent LESS than the "ESTIMATE", so who fricking CARES what they "claim" the "FORWARD" P/E is supposed to be .................

The part I can't figure out, or, more to the point, I DON'T want to figure out, is how in the HELL the S and P dropped .007% for 2015 while S and P missed earning by 37 fricking percent???????????????????? Aaaaaaaaahhhhhhhh, the magical wonder's of Central planning, eeeeerrrrrr, banking ...................

Friday, June 24, 2016

WEEKLY WRAP UP, eeeeerrrrr, WRAP "DOWN", FOR 6/24/2016


(click for larger image)

Well, the main men, the $NYAD, not only did NOT head lower off of that Bear flag last week, but actually moved bback up into a BUY SIGNAL, hahahahahahaha, LOL, god I hate the markets some times, like, ALWAYS! The NON-Cumulative $NYSI from last week remains on sell, with the cumulative $NYMO being the only other indicator on SELL.


I, THOUGHT, the red box on the left, my Market Monitor of over 2900 stocks that were down 4% or more on the day, was a new RECORD at 1405, but the record was 1450 on August 24 of last year, so, I found THIS extremely amusing:


LOL (again), the big red circle in the lower left is that low from last August in the SPY, and the little bitty circle in the UPPER right is the "LOW" (?????) on Friday, gee, they are almost TWINS ..........................
By the way, the over 900 stocks on the right side of that table of PSAR sell signals on the $NYSE is a record.
I can only imagine that with numbers like this the buy the dipper's will be out in full force Monday, IE, the FED, as they print new money and pay a premium for every stock on the $NYSE, which, that if the market ever actually does go down they will tell us tax payers that it was just bad luck about your losses.


We only have TWO markets on on sell signal this week, $TRAN and $TNX, 20 SMA below the 50 SMA. .... when you get a big dump like this it takes time for the MA's to catch up, which is some times called a TREND .........
184 stocks on the NYSE had new 52 wk highs vs 105 last week,  49 stocks made new lows vs 11 last week, still very strong numbers considering the $NYA was lower on the week, 123 stocks were on PSAR buy signals vs 812 last week, and 948 were on a PSAR sell signal vs 49 last week  .........


$BPCOMPQ, $BPINFO, and $BPHEAL remained on buy signals, with $BPUTIL joining them.


Just TWO sectors remain on sell signals this week, XLY and XRT, and I, THINK, that XLF, MAY, have joined them, although just barely.



And the big winner in my 77 markets this week, WAS (AGAIN! For the third week), VXX, SH is an error as StockCharts says it was up only 1.64% on the week, there's only 12 winners, they were all inverse or defensive accept for this one little ETF, EWZ, he he he, the most hated Country in the World and it's the only one higher this week. I guess it makes sense as the second best Country is probably the second most hated, EWJ.


That means 65 out of the 77 markets were lower, here's the loser's this week, XIV was the "winner", AGAIN (and AGAIN!), the big surprise is that Britain had six Countries that fared worse than them  this week, PROBABLY because they are STAYING in the EU, hahahahahahahahahaha! IWM was our big winner this week, only down 1.47%, as I guess it pays to have as little exposure to the EU as possible, the SPY and DIA were next at minus 1.59 and 1.64%, the NasDOGS were the worst this week, AGAIN, QQQ down 2.07%, which is better than last week. They are down 4.32% over the last two weeks and I think it's because I believe FRANCE is trying to pass legislation to have employers pay Social Security for ROBOTS, I'm not kidding ................. I guess that would be one way to pay benefits for all those people the Robots are laying off.


Here's the beeg wiener's in the SP 500 this week, there were 122 of them, winners that is.
30 stocks hit 52 wk highs on Friday vs 15 last week and 10 hit lows vs 2 last week, 37 hit 20 day highs vs 33 and 236 hit lows vs 24, ZERO stocks had a 14 RSI above 80, and ZERO stocks were below 20, AGAIN, meaning the markets are pure BULL SHIT, and, AGAIN, means there are ZERO stocks in the Peter Lynch happy hunting ground.
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Here's the loser's, man, CF looks terrible:


I don't mind the AG companies, CF has very nice funnymental metrics, but I just hate the Russians after what they did to POT ash last year, sigh, so I tend to not touch things that can get ripped by a manipulating Government that just cuts prices as they see fit.  

Monday, June 20, 2016

"POSSIBLE" TRADE "IDEAS" FOR 6/20/2016 FROM IVICA

Sign Up for Ivica's Free Trial and Trading 
Signals Click Here!

NFLX- SHORT IDEA

NWS- SHORT IDEA

TSLA- SHORT IDEA

RL- LONG IDEA

SEE- LONG IDEA
HSY- LONG IDEA

SIGN UP FOR IVICA'S SERVICE IN THE BOX IN THE SIDE BAR ON THE UPPER RIGHT SIDE AND GET 15 DAYS FREE!

WHOOP, WHOOP, WHOOP, DANGER, DANGER, POSSIBLE MARKET VOLATILITY AHEAD,  ETC ETC, TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK!!!!!!

STOCK TRADING IS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO YOUR FINANCIAL HEALTH AND IF YOU TAKE ANY OF THESE TRADE IDEAS AND HAVE NO COMPREHENSIVE TRADING PLAN OR NO STOPS IN PLACE YOU WILL UNDOUBTEDLY LOSE ALL OF YOUR MONEY, PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER AND PRIVACY POLICY AT THE BOTTOM OF THE WEB SITE. I MAY ALSO HAVE A POSITION IN THE SECURITIES MENTIONED AND I MAY BE PUMPING THEM HOPING TO FIND A SUCKER TO TAKE IT OFF MY HANDS AT HIGHER (OR LOWER) PRICES (JUST LIKE GOLDMAN SACHS, HAH!).
TAKE ONLY THE OPPORTUNITIES THAT YOU REALLY LIKE AND UNDERSTAND. ALWAYS ENTER A TRADE WITH A TRADING PLAN. THE PRIMARY FOCUS IS TO FIND SWING TRADES BY USING INTRADAY SETUPS THAT HAVE A POTENTIAL TO BECOME SWING TRADES. OUR MAIN FOCUS AS TRADERS IS TO TAKE HIGH PROBABILITY AND R/R TRADES AND CONTROL OUR RISK.
Further, any opinions, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this blog page is provided for educational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice or solicitations to trade. We are NOT Investment Advisors, so please consult your own investment adviser before committing any actual funds to the markets. 

CAUTION IS ADVISED!!


Sunday, June 19, 2016

TRADE IDEAS FOR FCX and AA


Basic materials have been the second worst performers over the past year, down 16.6%, just ahead of Conglomerates which are down 23%, but they are the best performers over the past quarter, and second best over the past month and six months, just in back of the safe haven utilities with their sky high P/E's.

Now, should the British public vote to leave the EU, it's my theory that in a fit of rage over the dumb ass peon's voting them out of their cushy bureaucratic EU jobs the British PM's will completely destroy England just to show the public that their dire predictions came through, and thus England will need lots of materials to rebuild, and become one of the fastest growing countries in the world.
I have always loved material companies, thus:



Both FCX, at the top, and AA have the same pattern on the weekly charts, a first thrust, then a pull back, and have gone sideways for six weeks and could, and I emphasize, COULD, be setting up for an "EQUAL MOVE" for the next wave higher. The target for AA is right at the highs from a year ago just above $14, and for FCX it's in the center of the consolidation around $20 just before the massive break down to $3. FCX also, MAY, be working on an INVERSE Head and Shoulders formation that, COULD, be projecting to the $24 "area".
The BEST part is that they have very, VERY, clear stops, and I'd tell you what they are, but I don't want to insult your intelligence, plus, if you don't know you obviously have no trading plan what so ever and have no business trading stocks. 

Friday, June 17, 2016

WEEKLY WRAP UP FOR 6/17/2016


(click for larger image)

The main men, the $NYAD, dropped to within a gnats ass of a new sell signal last week, and this week followed through on that threat, BUTT, sigh, there was not much follow through to the initial thrust, it does, however, appear to be forming a flatish bear flag and MAY be heading lower.


The NON-cumulative $NYSI has joined the NAD's in a sell signal, AND, have formed a divergence much like just over a year ago when the markets headed into the depths of hell, if you were in a leveraged ETF that is. This pattern looks very much like a LOWER high, just like the patterns leading into the August and first of the year lows.
Doesn't mean it HAS to happen, I'm just saying it's looks very much the same.


The same four markets are on sell signal this week, GLD, $TRAN, VWO and $TNX, 20 SMA below the 50 SMA. .... 
105 stocks on the NYSE had new 52 wk highs vs 187 last week,  11 stocks made new lows vs 21 last week, still very strong numbers considering the $NYA was lower on the week, 81 stocks were on PSAR buy signals vs 33 last week, and 49 were on a PSAR sell signal vs 507last week  .........


Some improvement in the Bullish Percent indexes this week, all 12 were on sell, but $BPCOMPQ, $BPINFO, and $BPHEAL all just eeked out new buy signals.


Just TWO sectors are on sell signals this week vs four last week, XLY and XRT.


And the big winner in my 77 markets this week, WAS (AGAIN!), VXX, which I reiterate is kind of a miracle as I've never seen that thing do any thing but go down, I MAY change my mind about it one of these years, the top six were the only ones up over 1% on the week. TLT was our major market winner, AGAIN, as people fled the rising stock markets for the safety of bonds, AGAIN, only up .62% this week, less than the "only up" of last week.  Speaking of "only", this page is the ONLY one that has any wiener's on it.


That means 57 out of the 77 markets were lower, here's the loser's this week, XIV was the "winner", AGAIN, although it was ONLY down 10% this week vs a whooping 10.33% last week, woooo hoooo, the NasDOGS were the worst this week, QQQ down 2.25%, then the little guys, IWM down 1.73%, just beating out SPY at - 1.69%, and the big dogs were the big winner's, DIA "only" down 1.23%.


Here's the beeg wiener's in the SP 500 this week, who talked about FCX last week, huh...... huh huh ............... OK, so I talked about it needing to hold $10, which it DID, it was under it on Tuesday but managed to close above it, the funny part is that this MASSIVE gain looks like diddly squat on a chart, hahahahaha, wad ever ................
15 stocks hit 52 wk highs on Friday vs 38 last week and two hit lows vs ZERO last week, that was FL and AAL, 33 hit 20 day highs vs 54 and 24 hit lows vs 33, ONE stocks had a 14 RSI above 80, SYMC, which reminds me, I remember that outfit, ZERO were below 20, AGAIN, and, AGAIN, means there are ZERO stocks in the Peter Lynch happy hunting ground.
.

Here's the loser's, 163 stocks were higher vs 247 last week so the loser's were the winners again, I guess, usually I can look at this list and see some thing but I have ZERO interest in any thing there.


EBAY is winding up for a BIG MOVE, it's six weeks into a weekly RSsqueeze in the red box and it's inside a huge triangle. If it just moved to the inside limits of the Swing channel the targets are $26.21 to the upside and $21.50 on the down side. 
There's no guarantee that it WILL move, it's just an idea. 

Sunday, June 12, 2016

"POSSIBLE" TRADE "IDEAS" FOR 6/13/2016 FROM IVICA

Sign Up for Ivica's Free Trial and Trading 
Signals Click Here!

GOOGL- SHORT IDEA

INVA- SHORT IDEA

SYY- LONG IDEA

DPS- LONG IDEA

MFS- LONG IDEA




WHOOP, WHOOP, WHOOP, DANGER, DANGER, POSSIBLE MARKET VOLATILITY AHEAD,  ETC ETC, TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK!!!!!!

STOCK TRADING IS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO YOUR FINANCIAL HEALTH AND IF YOU TAKE ANY OF THESE TRADE IDEAS AND HAVE NO COMPREHENSIVE TRADING PLAN OR NO STOPS IN PLACE YOU WILL UNDOUBTEDLY LOSE ALL OF YOUR MONEY, PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER AND PRIVACY POLICY AT THE BOTTOM OF THE WEB SITE. I MAY ALSO HAVE A POSITION IN THE SECURITIES MENTIONED AND I MAY BE PUMPING THEM HOPING TO FIND A SUCKER TO TAKE IT OFF MY HANDS AT HIGHER (OR LOWER) PRICES (JUST LIKE GOLDMAN SACHS, HAH!).
TAKE ONLY THE OPPORTUNITIES THAT YOU REALLY LIKE AND UNDERSTAND. ALWAYS ENTER A TRADE WITH A TRADING PLAN. THE PRIMARY FOCUS IS TO FIND SWING TRADES BY USING INTRADAY SETUPS THAT HAVE A POTENTIAL TO BECOME SWING TRADES. OUR MAIN FOCUS AS TRADERS IS TO TAKE HIGH PROBABILITY AND R/R TRADES AND CONTROL OUR RISK.
Further, any opinions, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this blog page is provided for educational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice or solicitations to trade. We are NOT Investment Advisors, so please consult your own investment adviser before committing any actual funds to the markets. 

CAUTION IS ADVISED!!


Friday, June 10, 2016

WEEKLY WRAP UP FOR 6/10/2016


(click for larger image)

Ok, the main men, the $NYAD, have dropped to within a gnats ass of a new sell signal, this after only two days lower on the $NYA and coming off of recent highs for the current rally. Now, the $NYHL, $NYSI and $NYMO are all still on buy signals, as is the $NYAD's, we just don't really want to see them fall through that 10 MA, especially if some of the other's decide to join them.


Despite the down days the last two days we actually dropped down to four out of the 12 markets that are on sell,  the $COMPQ just eeked out a new buy signal, GLD joined the $TRAN, VWO and $TNX on sell signals this week, 20 SMA below the 50 SMA. .... 
187 stocks on the NYSE had new 52 wk highs vs 199 last week,  21 stocks made new lows vs 11 last week, still very strong numbers considering the $NYA was lower on the week, 33 stocks were on PSAR buy signals vs 199 last week, and 507 were on a PSAR sell signal vs 106 last week  .........


All 12 of the Bullish Percent indexes are on sell, so this is a divergence as it's obvious that the majority of the under lying stocks in the indexes are NOT in agreement with the rally, that's a little caution flag.


Just four sectors are on sell signals this week vs six last week,  XME, XHB, XLK and XRT, XLI and XLK, JUST BARELY, joined the bull camp.


And the big winner in my 77 markets this week, WAS, VXX, which is kind of a miracle as I've never seen that thing do any thing but go down, eight of the next nine winners were all commodity related, which obviously hasn't sunk into the consumer yet as the number Friday was GOOD, but that's Michigan and they are still living off the 20 BILLION dollars that no one can account for in the GM BK. TLT was our major market winner, AGAIN, as people fled the rising stock markets for the safety of bonds, AGAIN, only up 1.16%,  kind of strange to see SLV and GLD up above in the winners AND the dollar was higher on the week, UUP up .66%, the big boys, DIA, were up .37%, then IWM up .09%, which is still UP Ya know, which is better than the SPY, down .10% on the week, then the NasDOGS, QQQ, CRASHING on the week, down 1.02%.


32 our of the 77 markets were higher, here's the loser's this week, they were almost ALL any thing that speaks a language other than EngiLL-leash, over all Europe was hit hard, VGK down 3.74%, as Super Mario works his magic, the only thing on that first page related to our markets was some thing called the XLF, as financials are not liking the lower interest rates, although I fail to see why NOT, as they get money from the FED for FREE and then charge 30% on credit cards ................


Here's the beeg wiener's in the SP 500 this week, HRB led the way, I only thought they went higher BEFORE April 15th?? Quite a few oil stocks on there as USO was up a WHOPPING 5 cents on the week, a nickel here and a nickel there I guess, "K" just cracks me up, lol, it has a TTM P/E of 49.54, AND, a stinking PEG of 9.95, hahahahahaha, just a Peter Lynch love story, sigh, wad ever, it's chart looks like it could continue going to Da MOOOOOO.......n, as it rocketed to new highs the last four days while the over all market was going down.
38 stocks hit 52 wk highs on Friday vs 41 last week and ZERO hit lows vs ONE last week, 54 hit 20 day highs vs 95 and 33 hit lows vs 17, 2 stocks had a 14 RSI above 80, SJM and CSC, ZERO were below 20, the Peter Lynch happy hunting ground.
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Here's the loser's, 247 stocks were higher so the loser's were the winners, I guess, BIIB is why I DON'T do biotech, nice company but they missed some trial, so, dump city, wow, one of the FANG stocks made the first page, NFLX,  and one of my F'd stocks made the list at number 13:


Now, I'm not REAL sure, but, Hhhhhmmmmmm, I kind of think that $10 level had better HOLD, or it could be Sadie bar the fricking door .............. I will get VERY interested again if it gets back under $4 ...................

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