Sunday, January 31, 2016

"POSSIBLE" TRADE "IDEAS" FOR 2/1/2016 FROM IVICA

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NLS- LONG IDEA


 ENTRY OVER HOD AND STOP UNDER LOD, ACCEPT SHORTS OF COURSE. 


HRC- LONG IDEA


INFY- LONG IDEA


AMZN- SHORT IDEA


WHOOP, WHOOP, WHOOP, DANGER, DANGER, POSSIBLE MARKET VOLATILITY AHEAD,  ETC ETC, TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK!!!!!!

STOCK TRADING IS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO YOUR FINANCIAL HEALTH AND IF YOU TAKE ANY OF THESE TRADE IDEAS AND HAVE NO COMPREHENSIVE TRADING PLAN OR NO STOPS IN PLACE YOU WILL UNDOUBTEDLY LOSE ALL OF YOUR MONEY, PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER AND PRIVACY POLICY AT THE BOTTOM OF THE WEB SITE. I MAY ALSO HAVE A POSITION IN THE SECURITIES MENTIONED AND I MAY BE PUMPING THEM HOPING TO FIND A SUCKER TO TAKE IT OFF MY HANDS AT HIGHER (OR LOWER) PRICES (JUST LIKE GOLDMAN SACHS, HAH!).
TAKE ONLY THE OPPORTUNITIES THAT YOU REALLY LIKE AND UNDERSTAND. ALWAYS ENTER A TRADE WITH A TRADING PLAN. THE PRIMARY FOCUS IS TO FIND SWING TRADES BY USING INTRADAY SETUPS THAT HAVE A POTENTIAL TO BECOME SWING TRADES. OUR MAIN FOCUS AS TRADERS IS TO TAKE HIGH PROBABILITY AND R/R TRADES AND CONTROL OUR RISK.
Further, any opinions, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this blog page is provided for educational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice or solicitations to trade. We are NOT Investment Advisors, so please consult your own investment adviser before committing any actual funds to the markets. 

CAUTION IS ADVISED!!

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Friday, January 29, 2016

WEEKLY AND MONTHLY WRAP UP FOR 1/29/2016


Japan is the big "WINNER" on that list above, that list is the DEBT/GDP ratio of Countries around the world. They are well over twice as bad........ eeeeeerrrrrrrr...... GOOD, as the good old USA, and over three times as "GOOD" as that old stand buy in all comedian acts, ZIMBABWE, and like all, "WINNERS", you now get the HONOR of PAYING in order to buy their SHIT debt, as they extrapolated on the failed policies of the last 30 years by going to NEGATIVE interest rates!!
The world has truly gone insane.................

Actually, that's not true, it has nothing to do with their debt, they are paying negative rates on money that banks are parking with them in an effort to get them to lend it out instead. 
I did find it strange that in response our ten year yield dropped 54 basis points or 2.72%, and on a day when our indexes went up 2.48% people were also piling into the safety of bonds with TLT rising .85%.

Any way, back to the real world, here's the GOOD in the breath indicators:


(double click for larger view)

The main men, the $NYAD, just eeked out a buy signal on Wednesday after the FOMC statement, tried to take that signal out immediately on Thursday, and then SHOT higher off the Japan "STIMULUS", whereby they CRUSH any savers that are left over, to confirm Wednesday's signal. The very important $NYMO is sitting EXACTLY where the $NYAD's were last week, a gnat's ass away from a buy signal, and any UP day will confirm it.

The mediocre breath indicators:



Niether the $NYHL nor the very important $NYSI is even REMOTELY close to a buy signal, AND, IMPO, look like DOG SHIT!!!! Ok, sigh, I will say the $NYHL is basing.



We now have, Woooo Hooo, THREE, markets on buy signals, the 20 SMA above the 50, that's GLD, TLT, and the dollar joined that massive party this week. Now, don't even THINK about it, just keep moving along folks, no reason to think that it's kind of WEIRD that both the dollar AND GLD are going up, none what so ever, just keep moving..........................


There was ONE of the Bullish Percent indexes are on buy last week, $BPUTIL, now there are FOUR, $BPDISC, $BPMATE and $BPENER joined the party, you know, all those WORST performing assets from last year ....


Despite all the yelling and screaming the sectors stayed exactly the same with XLU and XLP on buys,  and just like the Candleglance group none of the 20 MA's are even hooking up, that would be nice ........


Huge change from last week in my 77 markets, 69 were higher this week, led by, ONCE AGAIN, one of thowse WORST performers of the last year, XME, in fact, the top five all kind of fit that description, you will notice that DESPITE Friday, none of our major markets are on that list, they start on the next page:


This is the loser's list, be that what it may, there were only seven lower, with Healthcare being extremely conspicuous on that list, XLV, and also, again, despite all the yelling and screaming, the NasDOGS were the WORST performers of our major markets this week, only up .35%, and that was ALL on Friday, as with all out majors, the big dogs, DIA, out shone every one this week, up 2.23%, then SPY at 1.68%, with IWM in third at 1.57%, so I might dare to say that the RISK ON trade is not quite ON just, YET ...............


Here's the monthly winner's, I thought it kind of surprising to see GLD and GDX on there, as well as TLT as I thought bonds were supposed to get CRUSHED with the FED raising rates???????


Sssshhhhhhush, here's the monthly loser's, we don't talk about them, DO WE!!!! IWM was the winner of our major loser's, down 10.62%, with the NasDOGS down at the bottom at minus 8.90%.


Here's the beeg wiener's in the SP 500 this week, now, what have I been repeating myself about the big loser's of LAST year??? I'm talking about CNX, FCX, WYNN, DO, MUR, APC, stuff like that.


And here's the loser's, I guess EBAY is nothing with out PayPal, I have no idea why they are so upset about NFLX ......


Here's the monthly winners for the S and P, and...............


Here's the monthly loser's, I watched a DEBT guy on Bloomberg and, boy, was he NEGATIVE on FCX, woooooo weeeeeee, he's saying like, Ya know, any things possible, but FCX has BK written all over it, hhhhhhmmmmmmm, I may have to add MORE to my already to big a position ...........

363 stocks were higher on the week vs 220 last week,  26 stocks  closed with a 52 wk high Friday vs 5 last week, and 7 closed on lows vs 6 last week, 73 stocks closed on 20 day highs this week vs 18 last week and 22 on lows vs 9 last week, no stock closed with an RSI 14 above 80, again,  2 stocks had a -20 RSI, AXP and ADS, vs 8 last week.  The NYSE had 278 PSAR buy signals vs 856 last week and 25sell signals vs 60 last week,  315 new CCI buys vs 73 and 22 sells vs 7 last week, 118 52 wk highs vs 31 and 34 lows vs 16. 

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Monday, January 25, 2016

"POSSIBLE" TRADE "IDEAS" FOR 1/25/2016

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Signals Click Here!

BXLT- LONG IDEA

 ENTRY OVER HOD AND STOP UNDER LOD, ACCEPT SHORTS OF COURSE. 

BBY- SHORT IDEA

PODD- SHORT IDEA



WHOOP, WHOOP, WHOOP, DANGER, DANGER, POSSIBLE MARKET VOLATILITY AHEAD,  ETC ETC, TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK!!!!!!

STOCK TRADING IS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO YOUR FINANCIAL HEALTH AND IF YOU TAKE ANY OF THESE TRADE IDEAS AND HAVE NO COMPREHENSIVE TRADING PLAN OR NO STOPS IN PLACE YOU WILL UNDOUBTEDLY LOSE ALL OF YOUR MONEY, PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER AND PRIVACY POLICY AT THE BOTTOM OF THE WEB SITE. I MAY ALSO HAVE A POSITION IN THE SECURITIES MENTIONED AND I MAY BE PUMPING THEM HOPING TO FIND A SUCKER TO TAKE IT OFF MY HANDS AT HIGHER (OR LOWER) PRICES (JUST LIKE GOLDMAN SACHS, HAH!).
TAKE ONLY THE OPPORTUNITIES THAT YOU REALLY LIKE AND UNDERSTAND. ALWAYS ENTER A TRADE WITH A TRADING PLAN. THE PRIMARY FOCUS IS TO FIND SWING TRADES BY USING INTRADAY SETUPS THAT HAVE A POTENTIAL TO BECOME SWING TRADES. OUR MAIN FOCUS AS TRADERS IS TO TAKE HIGH PROBABILITY AND R/R TRADES AND CONTROL OUR RISK.
Further, any opinions, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this blog page is provided for educational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice or solicitations to trade. We are NOT Investment Advisors, so please consult your own investment adviser before committing any actual funds to the markets. 

CAUTION IS ADVISED!!

 Free Report: How to Survive and Prosper in a Global Financial Crisis

Friday, January 22, 2016

WEEKLY WRAP UP FOR 1/22/2016


(double click for larger view)

The main men, the $NYAD, are a gnats ass away from a new buy signal, and up day on Monday will be the trigger. 




That was ALL the good news, as the rest of the market timing breath indicators all look like Doggie poop, at a minimum it would probably take AT LEAST a couuple of more days like Thursday and Friday to get them into concensus with the $NYAD's. You can go early if you want to, the choice is always yours, go for it, do it, be a man, nothing ventured nothing gained, etc etc ..............


The $INDU point and figure chart issued a "Low Pole Reversal" buy signal on Thursday, the same holds true for the $SPX, BUTT:

Well you include ALL the stocks in the $SPX, like the $BPSPX, we are on a "BEAR CONFIRMED" from 1/19, meaning, of course, the same thing we've known for ages, that a small number of mega cap stocks are being used to hold the index up.


There are only two candle glance charts on buy signals, the 20 SMA above the 50, that's GLD and TLT, both kind of like, DEFENSIVE, also, it would have been NICE if one of the other indexes had at least hooked UP on the 20 SMA, no such luck, I guess two days does not an uptrend make .....


Only ONE of the Bullish Percent indexes are on buy, $BPUTIL, there's a lot of hook ups, so, maybe next week....


The sectors have one more buy besides the XLU, the XLP, but that is trending down toward the 50, so not great looking, and just like the Candleglance group none of them are even hooking up ........


Huge change from last week in my 77 markets where only nine were higher, and were all bonds or inverse funds, 26 were higher this week, led by those stalwarts EGPT and EWM, GLD and SLV were both higher, while GDX was a little surprise by being lower, surprise to ME that is, TLT was the leader of OUR major markets, up 1.23%, even RSX and USO were higher this week, none of our other "majors" were on this page.


Despite what I imagine was yelling and screaming out of Bubblevision's idiots, NONE, of our major markets were higher this week, in fact the winner, eeeeeeerrrrrrrr...... LOSER, was the big boys, DIA, down 1.66% on the bottom of the page, the "real" winner was, AGAIN, Brazil, down 5.09%, as we get a preview of what our markets will look like after Hillary becomes President, I mean, how can she lose with Soro's pumping her on social media. Our actual major winner was the NasDOGS, QQQ only down .29% on the week, with the little guys right behind, IWM minus .39%, with the SPY in third at -.73%.


Here's the beeg wiener's in the SP 500 this week, a lot of the energy dogs on the list, even CNX, did Obama exempt them from his BK crusade?? WYNN was higher as Super Mario inspired even the Chinese to go back to the gambling tables. 220 stocks were higher, meaning 280 were lower on the week, 5 stocks  closed with a 52 wk high Friday vs ZERO last week, and 6 closed on lows vs 128 last week, 18 stocks closed on 20 day highs this week vs 1 last week and 18 on lows vs 355 last week, no stock closed with an RSI 14 above 80, again,  8 stocks had a -20 RSI vs 24 last week.  The NYSE had 856 PSAR buy signals vs 35 last week and 60 sell signals vs 60 last week,  73 new CCI buys vs 12 and 7 sells vs 168 last week, 31 52 wk highs vs 36 and 16 lows vs 879, some really huge changes the last week.


And here's the loser's, I thought AXP, INTCD and IBM were responsible for the losses in the $INDU, but actually 23 stocks were lower on the week, a lot of banks on that list, which, in some quarters, is considered NOT GOOD, but it's all in how you look at it I guess.

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Tuesday, January 19, 2016

"POSSIBLE" TRADE "IDEAS" FOR 1/19/2016

Sign Up for Ivica's Free Trial and Trading 
Signals Click Here!

NUE- LONG IDEA
 ENTRY OVER HOD AND STOP UNDER LOD, ACCEPT SHORTS OF COURSE. 

CBS- LONG IDEA


HRB- SHORT IDEA

PZZA- SHORT IDEA
YUM- SHORT IDEA

WHOOP, WHOOP, WHOOP, DANGER, DANGER, POSSIBLE MARKET VOLATILITY AHEAD,  ETC ETC, TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK!!!!!!

STOCK TRADING IS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO YOUR FINANCIAL HEALTH AND IF YOU TAKE ANY OF THESE TRADE IDEAS AND HAVE NO COMPREHENSIVE TRADING PLAN OR NO STOPS IN PLACE YOU WILL UNDOUBTEDLY LOSE ALL OF YOUR MONEY, PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER AND PRIVACY POLICY AT THE BOTTOM OF THE WEB SITE. I MAY ALSO HAVE A POSITION IN THE SECURITIES MENTIONED AND I MAY BE PUMPING THEM HOPING TO FIND A SUCKER TO TAKE IT OFF MY HANDS AT HIGHER (OR LOWER) PRICES (JUST LIKE GOLDMAN SACHS, HAH!).
TAKE ONLY THE OPPORTUNITIES THAT YOU REALLY LIKE AND UNDERSTAND. ALWAYS ENTER A TRADE WITH A TRADING PLAN. THE PRIMARY FOCUS IS TO FIND SWING TRADES BY USING INTRADAY SETUPS THAT HAVE A POTENTIAL TO BECOME SWING TRADES. OUR MAIN FOCUS AS TRADERS IS TO TAKE HIGH PROBABILITY AND R/R TRADES AND CONTROL OUR RISK.
Further, any opinions, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this blog page is provided for educational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice or solicitations to trade. We are NOT Investment Advisors, so please consult your own investment adviser before committing any actual funds to the markets. 

CAUTION IS ADVISED!!

 Free Report: How to Survive and Prosper in a Global Financial Crisis

Saturday, January 16, 2016

WEEKLY WRAP UP FOR 1/15/2016


Well, it may not be the end of the world, but it's the end of the six year bull market, at least according to Tony Caldaro at OEW it is, http://bit.ly/1Sonag6 . Now, why do I mention him???? Because six, seven or eight years ago, I don't remember exactly, in the throes of the great recession, I laughed at him when he came out and made the outrageous statement that the bear market was over and the market was going to new all time highs, AND BEYOND!! I won't make THAT mistake again, I can tell you that. 


(double click for larger view)

Tony says the bear market will "probably" last about a year, and if typical, will lose 40-50% of it's value (John Hussman has historical data that confirms those numbers), which would put the low "around" 1100. That's a pretty interesting number on that chart above, as it's the lows from 2011, the orange line. I also find the 38.2% retracement line of the entire bull market from 2009 interesting as it's the highs from 2007, the red line. 50% is ALWAYS interesting as a retracement, but I really don't see all that much at the 1400 level. 
Another REALLY interesting thingey is the Fibonacci TIME SERIES on that chart, they are EXACTLY equal from the highs in 2000 to the highs in 2007 to the highs in 2015, the magenta vertical lines, I'm sure it's just all some weird coincident, hahahahahahahahaha..............
Here's some more stat's, we've had quite a few CONSECUTIVE SIX YEAR bull markets, but NEVER seven years in a row, PLUS, we've only had TWO times where the market gained more than 200% prior to the current bull market, and they ended in 1928 and 1999.................. hahahahahahahahahahaha......... hhhmmmmmm, let's see, what happened after those two years....... hhhhmmmmm, hold on, I'm still thinking...................
Here's another one, EVERY President since FDR that served more than one term, including partial terms, left his successor with a RECESSION, every one, I didn't check before FDR, but it "probably" holds true for all of them, and let's see, Obama is going to leave his successor with the weakest "recovery" in the modern era since 1950, the complete destruction of various areas of the economy like coal, mining, manufacturing, fossil fuels, etc etc, higher and more taxes, and his crown jewel, Obamacare, which goes with the prior since the Supreme Court said it was a TAX and therefore legal............. I mean, what could possibly go wrong???????


 There's dozens of "over sold" thingey's that are saying we ARE over sold, BUTT, of course, if you were around in 2000 and 2008 you know that over sold can get WAY MORE OVER SOLD!! ANYWAY, with that said (that's a DISCLAIMER), my Market Monitor of over 2900 stocks had a couple of records Friday, the red boxes on 52 wk highs and 20 day highs, the orange box under SP 500 52 wk lows was only exceeded by the 182 on August 24, and the orange box under SP 500 20 day highs has been tied a couple of times, like August 24 and, surprisingly, December 30. 
Those are over sold numbers, what I find disturbing is that there weren't MORE RECORDS, I mean, hhhhhhmmmm ................. that leaves room for MORE RECORDS some where down the road. 


Here's a chart that's NOT over sold, the NYSE, well, it's not over sold on the RSI compared to August 24th, but that's GOOD, as we've made a lower low in price and are "trying" to make a HIGHER LOW in the RSI, IE, a divergence. It also shows up on the MACD Histogram, PLUS, the two big red vertical lines show we've fallen almost exactly the same amount from the 50 DMA as we did in August, so, an "Equal Move" scenario. 
So, Ya know, there's little things hinting we may get a bounce, at SOME point (that's a DISCLAIMER as well, hahahahaha)......

You can just about repeat every thing I said last week about the candle glance charts, the Bullish Percent indexes dropped to only one on a buy, and that's a new one,  $BPUTIL, which XLU is also the only sector on a buy, so I'm not going to waste my time posting the charts.


There were only 9 winner's in my 77 markets last week, down from 11 the previous week, two countries were higher for the week, TUR and THD, XLU was the sector winner behind TLT.


The loser's were, of course, Legion (AGAIN!), with the best of the worst down at the bottom of this page being EIRL, and it was down 3.99% (mind you, NOT 4%!!).  China was, again, NOT the worst index, that belongs to Egypt, EGPT down 12.98%, FXI was actually in back of Putin, RSX down 7.05%. None of our major markets are on this list, meaning, they were actually pretty good! Our winner was SPY, "only" down 2.14%, beating out DIA by a WIDE margin, DIA down 2.18%, then the NasDOGS, QQQ down 3.05%, with the winner's this week, eeeeerrrrrrr, loser's, being the little guys, IWM down 3.59%, plus they entered a BEAR MARKET on Wednesday, down over 20% from their June highs, so they are officially the first of our majors to do so, and, I'm sure, they probably be the LAST to do so, right? RIGHT?? RIGHT???


Here's the beeg wiener's in the SP 500 this week, CMG must have found the cure for botulism, hahahahaha, like, their employee's washing their hands??? I have no idea why some of these are higher, I know there's been a lot of chatter about guru's buying PSX, why the hell XOM was up, other than they rip every one and make tons of money, is beyond me, the same with CPB, did they find the cure for cancer in soup?


And here's the loser's, AA is in the 14 spot, they actually did what they needed to do to get the stock to DOUBLE, and that's LOSE money, but I guess "inwestors" are no longer on their dumb shit ways and decided that maybe earnings actually DO matter, wad ever.
No stock in the SP 500 closed with a 52 wk high Friday, and 128 closed on lows vs 79 last week, 1 stocks closed on 20 day highs this week, HAS, and 355 on lows vs 278 last week, no stock closed with an RSI 14 above 80,  13 stocks had a -20 RSI.  The NYSE had 34 PSAR buy signals vs 18 last week and 60 sell signals vs 138 last week,  12 new CCI buys vs 24 and 168 sells vs 145 last week, 36 52 wk highs vs 38 and 879 lows vs 538.


OK, enough of the BS, let's get to GDX, Yea baby, YEA, hahahaha, god, what a piece of shit, sigh, I'm not in it but I'm still intrigued, it's working on a SEX-trupple bottom at $13, what ever that means, and it looks........... H-O-R-R-I-B-L-E! It's got this massive BBSqueeze working in the red box, and it just triggered to the down side, it put on a BEARISH ENGULFING on Friday, and is sitting right on the lower bollinger, and by all rights it SHOULD start walking DOWN that bollinger!! Udder Dan Dat, this thing looks GREAT! And, OH, GOLD opened UP 20 points on Friday, and this thing still couldn't hold it's gains, I mean, WOW!!! It seems like some thing I'd be stupid enough to buy, hahahahahahaha........
Ok, now, I hear a LOT of people saying to buy GOLD because it's a safe haven in bear markets and goes higher, well:


GLD went DOWN in 2008, about 35% high to low, AND:


GDX got RIPPED, losing 73 stinking percent high to low, I mean, people can tell you all they want to, I hate to burst some one's bubble with some actual FACTS, hahahahaha, sigh, what a crock.........
I have to admit it, that monthly chart looks awful, really, the only GOOD part about it, is if you want to get involved, at least you know EXACTLY where your STOP would be, some where under $13, Ya know, with what ever risk parameters your EXTENSIVE trading plan DICTATES..... if it loses another 73% it will only go to 3.51, so you'd only lose $9.49 cents if you went all in buying ONE share, woooo hooooo.....
I would certainly NEVER say that gold can't go up during the next bear market, you have to decide for yourself, it just didn't do it in 08'.....
Good luck to you.

For those interested Bloomberg will be doing a "special" from 6 PM ET on Sunday until the European markets close on Monday, meaning, of course, that either the markets will go to Da Moooooon, or not do any thing, hahahahaha, much like when Bubblevision does their Markets in Turmoil BS.
Of course, I fail to understand why Bloomberg is not on at ALL TIMES when ANY markets are open on ANY days, but, wad ever................

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