Monday, November 30, 2015

"POSSIBLE" TRADE "IDEAS" FOR WEEK OF 11/30/2015

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Signals Click Here!

AVY- LONG IDEA

 ENTRY OVER HOD AND STOP UNDER LOD, ACCEPT SHORTS OF COURSE. 

EVER- LONG IDEA

LPX- LONG IDEA

PWR- SHORT IDEA

PEGI- SHORT IDEA

STOCK TRADING IS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO YOUR FINANCIAL HEALTH AND IF YOU TAKE ANY OF THESE TRADE IDEAS AND HAVE NO COMPREHENSIVE TRADING PLAN OR NO STOPS IN PLACE YOU WILL UNDOUBTEDLY LOSE ALL OF YOUR MONEY, PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER AND PRIVACY POLICY AT THE BOTTOM OF THE WEB SITE. I MAY ALSO HAVE A POSITION IN THE SECURITIES MENTIONED AND I MAY BE PUMPING THEM HOPING TO FIND A SUCKER TO TAKE IT OFF MY HANDS AT HIGHER (OR LOWER) PRICES (JUST LIKE GOLDMAN SACHS, HAH!).
TAKE ONLY THE OPPORTUNITIES THAT YOU REALLY LIKE AND UNDERSTAND. ALWAYS ENTER A TRADE WITH A TRADING PLAN. THE PRIMARY FOCUS IS TO FIND SWING TRADES BY USING INTRADAY SETUPS THAT HAVE A POTENTIAL TO BECOME SWING TRADES. OUR MAIN FOCUS AS TRADERS IS TO TAKE HIGH PROBABILITY AND R/R TRADES AND CONTROL OUR RISK.
Further, any opinions, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this blog page is provided for educational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice or solicitations to trade. We are NOT Investment Advisors, so please consult your own investment adviser before committing any actual funds to the markets. 

CAUTION IS ADVISED!!

Why Your Bank Deposits May Be at Risk
Another financial crisis will bring widespread bank failures

By Elliott Wave International

Friday, November 27, 2015

WEEKLY WRAP UP FOR 11/27/2015

(double click for larger view)
The $NYAD remains on a buy signal, AND, is actually diverging from the $NYA in the upper chart, as it's been flat for the last seven days while the $NYAD's continue to inch higher. 


 Mean while, the $NYHL continues to look just HORRIBLE, BUTT, it's like one day from a new buy signal should we go up on Monday, but, of course, it COULD just be a WHIP SAW, but, hey, Ya just never know.......

The P and F chart for the $SPX has no signal at all again, while the $BPSPX continues on the "Bear Alert" signal from 11/16.



Out of 12 fairly major markets the same three as last week are NOT on a Silver Cross buy signal, the 20 SMA above the 50, $CRB, GLD, and TLT. plus, the VWO is like one negative close away from a new sell signal. 


I can say the exact same thing I said the last four weeks, "Every single one of the 12 Bullish Percent indexes were on Silver Crosses this week, so I guess that's, aaahh, well, eeerr, (still) BULLISH", as in, BORINGGGGGGG......3.


Out of 12 SP sectors XME, XLU and XRT are on a BEARISH Silver Cross again this week, while XHB got out of the bearish camp and went bullish.


Not nearly as good a week as last week in my 77 markets I keep track of, as 47 were lower, but the BIG news was the "RISK ON" play that is in the numero DOCE spot, the IWM, up 3.07%,  which also got me scratching my head as to why in the HELL they were UP like that, and then it hit me:


In the "COSTANZA" markets that have been created by the ***** FED, where BAD is GOOD, and so forth, the P/E on the IWM has more than DOUBLED from the horrible 61.40 a year ago, to an UN-FRICKING-BELIEVEABLE 145.97, hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha, and the reason "INWESTOR'S" are piling into the little guys, is that if the P/E DOUBLES again NEXT year, to over 290, the fricking IWM will UNDOUBTEDLY DOUBLE AS WELL, hahahahahahahaha, WOOOOOOOO HOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!
Of course, the ANAL-lyst are "GUESSING" that the P/E will drop to 18.55 NEXT year, but, of course, they said that LAST year as well, wad ever.........
But back to the boring stuff, the NasDOGS, QQQ, were our number two major market for the week, up a paltry .53%, or 127% a year, with the SPY in third at .48%, and the big dogs, the DIA, were the LITTLE Dogs this week, only up .46%.


The big loser this week was the guys that like to shoot at Russian pilots that are parachuting to Earth, TUR down 9.23%, I guess the RSX was down because of the table pounding by Putin, EWZ was in number two spot, and we ALL know why they are, if you don't you must live in a shoe box (like..... ME), GDX looks like it's heading back down to my $13 buy point again, ALTHOUGH, it didn't make new LOWS like the GLD did on Friday, IE, a DIVERGENCE, so it may not get to $13, PLUS, a break of $13 will "PROBABLY" NOT be good this time, so I'm going to be verwy verwy careful.


Here's the beeg wiener's in the SP 500 this week, ROST and TSN are up on the Holiday trade, with DLTR being up on the Holiday trade for people like me that can only to spend a dollar,  and don't look now, but on the list AGAIN this week was, AA ............


And here's the loser's list, Ya know, it seems like the same list as last week, hhhhmmmm,  CMG wasn't down this week, it was up like 7 1/2%, hhhmmm...........

16 stocks closed on 52 wk highs vs 38 last week and 2 on lows vs 9, 47 on 20 day highs vs 101 and 7 on lows vs 9, , 3 stocks closed with an RSI 14 above 80, ARG, PCL and AMAT, ZERO had a -20 RSI, sounds like another great buying opportunity when NO stocks are over sold, the NYSE had 89 PSAR buy signals vs 322 last week and 52 sell signals vs 35 last week,  99 new 52 wk highs vs 94 and 42 lows vs 97.

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Friday, November 20, 2015

WEEKLY WRAP UP FOR 11/20/2015



The two timing indicators, $NYAD and $NYSI, are both on buy signals, the $NYAD just triggered on Friday. 


(double click for larger view)

The $NYHL and $NYMO remain on sell signals, it always helps when all the ducks are in a line. 


The P and F chart for the $SPX has no signal at all, but the $BPSPX on a "Bear Alert" signal from 11/16.


Out of 12 fairly major markets the same three as last week are NOT on a Silver Cross buy signal, the 20 SMA above the 50, $CRB, GLD, and TLT.


I can say the exact same thing I said the last three weeks, "Every single one of the 12 Bullish Percent indexes were on Silver Crosses this week, so I guess that's, aaahh, well, eeerr, (still) BULLISH." The indexes did get pretty well shellacked this week, so we'll see.


Out of 12 SP sectors XME, XHB, XLU and XRT are on a BEARISH Silver Cross.


Big up week in my 77 markets, only 14 were lower, EWZ was the "winner", with the only reason that I could find being there was NO BAD NEWS, LOL, the NasDOGS were our top major market, QQQ up 4.22%, then you have to go to the next page for the SPY, 3.34%, DIA up 3.16%, and the poor little guys, IWM "only" up 2.4%, or 124% a year.


The big loser's this week were either inverse funds or comodity related, the only one on the list not related to them was TUR, and they were only down .09%, and yes, I did take GDX, and I'm still in it but I moved out of the stock and into an option spread.


Here's the beeg wiener's in the SP 500 this week, ARG moved out of the air business and into the cancer bizz, as they obviously cured it, one I'm watching is waaayyyyyyy down at the bottom of the list, AA ............


And here's the loser's list, Ya know, I remember buying SWN at $40 and thinking it was one hell of a deal, my, how things change, CMG was down 12% as they found Bubonic plague or some thing like that in their food,

38 stocks closed on 52 wk highs vs ZERO last week and 9 on lows vs 35, 101 on 20 day highs vs 7 and 9 on lows vs 130, , 6 stocks closed with an RSI 14 above 80, ZERO had a -20 RSI, sounds like a great buying opportunity when NO stocks are over sold, the NYSE had 322 PSAR buy signals vs 43 last week and 35 lows vs 193 last week,  94 new 52 wk highs vs 10 and 97 lows vs 175, interesting that we closed with more new lows than highs.

The Bear Market Meter is Running
Taxicab medallions and margin debt: A similar reversal in the making

By Elliott Wave International

Tuesday, November 17, 2015

Sign Up for Ivica's Free Trial and Trading 
Signals Click Here!

ECL- LONG IDEA

 ENTRY OVER HOD AND STOP UNDER LOD, ACCEPT SHORTS OF COURSE. 

IFIN- LONG IDEA

EXAS- LONG IDEA

APD- SHORT IDEA

THRX- SHORT IDEA

STOCK TRADING IS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO YOUR FINANCIAL HEALTH AND IF YOU TAKE ANY OF THESE TRADE IDEAS AND HAVE NO COMPREHENSIVE TRADING PLAN OR NO STOPS IN PLACE YOU WILL UNDOUBTEDLY LOSE ALL OF YOUR MONEY, PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER AND PRIVACY POLICY AT THE BOTTOM OF THE WEB SITE. I MAY ALSO HAVE A POSITION IN THE SECURITIES MENTIONED AND I MAY BE PUMPING THEM HOPING TO FIND A SUCKER TO TAKE IT OFF MY HANDS AT HIGHER (OR LOWER) PRICES (JUST LIKE GOLDMAN SACHS, HAH!).
TAKE ONLY THE OPPORTUNITIES THAT YOU REALLY LIKE AND UNDERSTAND. ALWAYS ENTER A TRADE WITH A TRADING PLAN. THE PRIMARY FOCUS IS TO FIND SWING TRADES BY USING INTRADAY SETUPS THAT HAVE A POTENTIAL TO BECOME SWING TRADES. OUR MAIN FOCUS AS TRADERS IS TO TAKE HIGH PROBABILITY AND R/R TRADES AND CONTROL OUR RISK.
Further, any opinions, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this blog page is provided for educational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice or solicitations to trade. We are NOT Investment Advisors, so please consult your own investment adviser before committing any actual funds to the markets. 

CAUTION IS ADVISED!!


Friday, November 13, 2015

WEEKLY WRAP UP FOR 11/13/2015



(double click for larger view)
As you might imagine the $NYAD, $NYHL and $NYMO all gave sell signals this week. 


The P and F chart for the $SPX has no signal at all, but the $BPNDX gave a "Bear Alert" signal on Friday.



Out of 12 fairly major markets there three that are NOT on a Silver Cross buy signal, $CRB, GLD, and TLT.


I can say the exact same thing I said the last two weeks, "Every single one of the 12 Bullish Percent indexes were on Silver Crosses this week, so I guess that's, aaahh, well, eeerr, (still) BULLISH." The indexes did get pretty well shellacked this week, so we'll see.


Out of 12 SP sectors XME, XHB and XRT are on a BEARISH Silver Cross.


Here's the big winner's this week in my 77 markets, the top three were inverse markets, then some defensive sectors like GDX, TLT and BND, TUR was the only actual market that went up this week. GDX did NOT reach my buy signal at $13.


The big winner's in our major markets last week were the big loser's this week, IWM down 4.34% for the week, then the NasDOGS, QQQ down 4.31%, DIA down 3.65%, with the SPY the big winner, "only" down 3.57%.


Here's the beeg wiener's in the SP 500 this week, of which there were only 51 stocks ..........


And here's the loser's list, the funny part about FOSL is not the UN-authorized 2 for 1 stock split,  but that people were blaming the weakness on AAPL's watch, hahahahaha, wad ever, I'm still watching FCX, but only if it can retest the $8 level, AA is, aaaaahhhhh, interesting here, but only if it can hold around this $8 level, by the way, did Ford stop selling aluminum pick ups or some thing????

ZERO stocks closed on 52 wk highs vs 5 last week and 35 on lows vs 8, 7 on 20 day highs vs 85 and 130 on lows vs 39, a little weak, 1 stocks closed with an RSI 14 above 80,  DD, 2 had a -20 RSI, M and FOSL, the NYSE had 43 PSAR buy signals vs 69 last week and 196 lows vs 361 last week, a very interesting "divergence", 10 new 52 wk highs vs 67 and 175 lows vs 65, 28 closed with a CCI buy vs 97, and 307 with a sell vs 256.

The Bear Market Meter is Running
Taxicab medallions and margin debt: A similar reversal in the making

By Elliott Wave International

Monday, November 09, 2015

"POSSIBLE" TRADE "IDEAS" FOR WEEK OF 11/9/2015

Sign Up for Ivica's Free Trial and Trading 
Signals Click Here!

COF- LONG IDEA

 ENTRY OVER HOD AND STOP UNDER LOD, ACCEPT SHORTS OF COURSE. 

IMMU- LONG IDEA

CA- SHORT IDEA

CVS- SHORT IDEA


STOCK TRADING IS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO YOUR FINANCIAL HEALTH AND IF YOU TAKE ANY OF THESE TRADE IDEAS AND HAVE NO COMPREHENSIVE TRADING PLAN OR NO STOPS IN PLACE YOU WILL UNDOUBTEDLY LOSE ALL OF YOUR MONEY, PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER AND PRIVACY POLICY AT THE BOTTOM OF THE WEB SITE. I MAY ALSO HAVE A POSITION IN THE SECURITIES MENTIONED AND I MAY BE PUMPING THEM HOPING TO FIND A SUCKER TO TAKE IT OFF MY HANDS AT HIGHER (OR LOWER) PRICES (JUST LIKE GOLDMAN SACHS, HAH!).
TAKE ONLY THE OPPORTUNITIES THAT YOU REALLY LIKE AND UNDERSTAND. ALWAYS ENTER A TRADE WITH A TRADING PLAN. THE PRIMARY FOCUS IS TO FIND SWING TRADES BY USING INTRADAY SETUPS THAT HAVE A POTENTIAL TO BECOME SWING TRADES. OUR MAIN FOCUS AS TRADERS IS TO TAKE HIGH PROBABILITY AND R/R TRADES AND CONTROL OUR RISK.
Further, any opinions, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this blog page is provided for educational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice or solicitations to trade. Please consult your investment adviser before committing any actual funds to the markets. 

CAUTION IS ADVISED!!


Saturday, November 07, 2015

WEEKLY WRAP UP FOR 11/6/2015

(double click for larger images)

Here's a little fun with "GUESSTIMATES", "Forward Guidance", "The Market Has Built In", "The Market is a FORWARD Looking Mechanism", "ANAL"-lyst in general, Wall Street in General, the FED in general, etc etc etc, in the red circle on the SPY chart at the top is March of 2014, and the red box in the table under "2015 EST" is the "PROJECTED" earnings that were given on 3/31/2014, they were saying that 2015 would have earnings of $137.19, so with the $SPX sitting at 1875 it was trading at about a P/E of 13.68, so the market, based on those $137 earnings, went to where we are NOW, $SPX at 2099, and with those $137 "earnings" we "WOULD" have a P/E of 15.32.......... BUTT.......... there's a little problem...........


These tables all come right from the source, Standard and Poors, now, not only have full year earnings come down for four quarters in a row since 9/30/2014, in the red box, but in the black boxes for 12/31/2015, the end of this year, "THEY", S and P, are "ESTIMATING" we will earn $98.56, or 28.8 fricking percent LESS than what "THE MARKET WAS BUILDING IN" back in March of 2014!
So, rather than trading at 1335, which is 28.8% less than the 1875 we were trading at in March of 2014, with a P/E of  13.53 TTM, which is certainly an "investable" number, we are trading at 2099, with a TTM of 21.29, which is certainly not the 30 P/E of the 2000 "Bubble", but pretty damn close to the first quarter 2008 P/E of 21.90 directly prior to THAT collapse. 
I'm NOT saying we are going to collapse, we'll probably go back to that 30 P/E before that happens, I'm just bringing up how ridiculous the "PROJECTIONS" can be, they don't mean diddly fricking squat shit, nobody cares any way, and to be honest, I'm totally sorry I spent all this time talking about it, wasting my time and yours............


SURPRISINGLY, the $NYAD's are "trying" to get a SELL signal, stupid things, geeze, one down day and it would trigger, it would be NICE if they turned up instead on Monday.  


The $NYHL continue to look (as mentioned last week), aaaahhhhhh, AWFUL, moving sideways in a classic bear flag, with technical analysis s saying that when you get a down thrust (or UP thrust), move side ways, you then "CONTINUE" in the original direction, or DOWN in this case, wad ever..... 

The P and F chart for the $SPX  is still on a Red signal because of a "Long Tail Up" on 10/28/2015.


Out of 12 fairly major markets there is only ONE that is NOT on a Silver Cross buy signal, $TNX, BUTT, $CRB is on the verge of a negative cross, and on GLD, TLT and VWO the 20 SMA is now trending downward. 


I can say the exact same thing I said last week, "Every single one of the 12 Bullish Percent indexes were on Silver Crosses this week, so I guess that's, aaahh, well, eeerr, BULLISH."


Out of 12 SP sectors only one, XME, is on a BEARISH Silver Cross, BUTT, XHB and XRT are right smack on the verge of one, and XLU just got slaughtered on Friday, gapping all the way under the 50 SMA. By the way, that chart is a CLASSIC example of the down thrust, then bear flag and "CONTINUATION" pattern I talked about above, on the $NAYD's, just perfect, it is.


Here's the big winner's this week in my 77 markets, , did Brasil, EWZ, get rid of the bitch??? The little guys, IWM, are trying to make up distance on the big boys, leading our major markets this week by being up 3.35%, DIA was next at 1.50%, then the NasDOGS, QQQ up 1.29%, with the SPY being the DOG of the week, up 1.09%. Three markets closed on a 20 day high, IWM, UPP and XLF, vs 16 last week, so a much weaker close this week.



33 out of the 77 markets were down this week, and once AGAIN, the big "winner" in the loser's last week was GDX:


And I swear, SWEAR, just like I said last week, if we can get it back down to $13 I will DEFINITELY be taking another shot at it, although the thing really looks bad, hahahahaha, whew, man, that pay roll report did NOT help gold, that's for sure. We still have another report before the December FED meeting sooooooo, there's no guarantee they raise, in fact I watched an "expert" on Bloomberg last night who said they will NOT raise in December, but it's still the dollar that's driving gold, and if lyou look at the $USD chart up above it just recently triggered a Silver Bull cross signal, so it could have a LONG ways to go..........


Here's the beeg wiener's in the SP 500 this week, I have no idea what QRVO does, nor do I give a big flying what ever ..........................


And here's the loser's list, I am shocked, SHOCKED I TELL YA, to see QCOM as the winner, wow, how the mighty have fallen, it's also surprising to see NEM on there rather than some of the lesser gold stocks, FCX is another one I'm watching, but only if it can retest the $8 level.
19 stocks closed on 52 wk highs vs 21 last week and 8 on lows vs 4, 85 on 20 day highs vs 100 and 59 on lows vs 15, a little weak, 4 stocks closed with an RSI 14 above 80, ADSK, AMZN, DD and KLAC, the NYSE had 69 PSAR buy signals vs 103 last week and 361 lows vs 95, very weak, 67 new 52 wk highs vs 82 and 66 lows vs 46, 97 closed with a CCI buy vs 97, and 256 with a sell vs 137.

The Bear Market Meter is Running
Taxicab medallions and margin debt: A similar reversal in the making

By Elliott Wave International

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