Wednesday, July 29, 2015

"POSSIBLE" TRADE "IDEAS" FOR WEDNESDAY OF 7/29/2015

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Signals Click Here!

EIX- LONG IDEA
ENTRY: OVER YESTERDAY'S HIGH
STOP: UNDER $58.82
THE REST OF THEM IS ENTRY OVER HOD AND STOP UNDER LOD, ACCEPT NAVI OF COURSE. 

ISIL- LONG IDEA
NSM- LONG IDEA
NAVI- SHORT IDEA

"POSSIBLE" TRADE "IDEAS" FOR WEEK OF 7/27/2015
BBY- SHORT IDEA
BBY IS EXTENDED TO THE DOWN SIDE SO BE CAREFUL, ENTRY IS UNDER FRIDAY'S CLOSE AND STOP OVER WEDNESDAYS HIGH, OR WHERE YOUR TRADING PLAN DICTATES IT. 
REMEMBER, YOUR R/R DICTATES YOU MAKE A "MINIMUM" OF THREE TIMES YOUR RISK, SO YOU ARE RISKING 60 CENTS ON YOUR STOP SO YOUR TARGET IS AT LEAST $1.80 ON THIS TRADE, OR $30.60. 


KSS- SHORT IDEA
KSS IS ALSO EXTENDED TO THE DOWN SIDE ON THE DAILY CHART, ENTRY COULD BE UNDER $61.75 WITH STOP OVER $62.

SOME MORE SHORT IDEAS:
HAIN, BHI, CSIQ, FOSL, HALO, RL, BMRN, CAR. 

SOME POSSIBLE LONG IDEAS:
CYTK, HLS, NUVA, MSFT, PFG, ADBE, CHGG.



STOCK TRADING IS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO YOUR FINANCIAL HEALTH AND IF YOU TAKE ANY OF THESE TRADE IDEAS AND HAVE NO COMPREHENSIVE TRADING PLAN OR NO STOPS IN PLACE YOU WILL UNDOUBTEDLY LOSE ALL OF YOUR MONEY, PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER AND PRIVACY POLICY AT THE BOTTOM OF THE WEB SITE. I MAY ALSO HAVE A POSITION IN THE SECURITIES MENTIONED AND I MAY BE PUMPING THEM HOPING TO FIND A SUCKER TO TAKE IT OFF MY HANDS AT HIGHER (OR LOWER) PRICES (JUST LIKE GOLDMAN SACHS, HAH!).
TAKE ONLY THE OPPORTUNITIES THAT YOU REALLY LIKE AND UNDERSTAND. ALWAYS ENTER A TRADE WITH A TRADING PLAN. THE PRIMARY FOCUS IS TO FIND SWING TRADES BY USING INTRADAY SETUPS THAT HAVE A POTENTIAL TO BECOME SWING TRADES. OUR MAIN FOCUS AS TRADERS IS TO TAKE HIGH PROBABILITY AND R/R TRADES AND CONTROL OUR RISK.
Further, any opinions, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this blog page is provided for educational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice or solicitations to trade. Please consult your investment adviser before committing any actual funds to the markets. 

CAUTION IS ADVISED!!


Friday, July 24, 2015

WEEKLY WRAP UP FOR 7/24/2015


As I would expect all of the major Bullish Percent indexes are on sell signals, I included the three sector Bullish Percent indexes that are still on buy or flat signals, $BPFINA, $BPUTIL and $BPSTAP, as inwestors flee to the "SAFTEY" of "DEFENSIVE" sectors, hahahahahahahaha...........
I'm laughing of course because of this chart:


That's those three "SAFE" and "DEFENISVE" sectors in 2008, XLF lost 84%, XLU 48% and XLP 33%, but of course, this time it will be different.


That's the Candleglance group for 12 major markets, the $COMPQ, $USD, and $TNX are the only ones on a Silver Cross, 20 sma above 50 sma, the rest are all on Silver DEATH crosses, hahahahaha, a few capitals for drama.......


I don't keep track of this stat so I don't know if this is a record or not, but only 8 of the 77 markets I keep track of each week were higher, and half were inverse funds, then TLT and BND, one is the Euro, FXE, which surprised me as I didn't know the dollar was actually lower this week, with the only TRUE market being higher this week was the Irish, EIRL up .27% on the week, the true luck of the Irish I guess.


I thought GDX might be the winner of the loser's but it got beat out by a horrid performance from Brazil, EWZ -9.58%, TUR was in third followed by XME, by the way, I am LONG GDX, as I have a secret suicide wish, I guess. Several of our sectors made the first page, like XLE, DBA, XLB, USO, our best major was SPY, down 2.13% for the week, then the NasDOGS, QQQ, DIA, with IWM coming in last at -3.27%.
3 markets closed at a 20 day high vs 7 last week, ERY, TLT and XLY, 23 at a low vs 11, 13 on a Silver cross vs 13 last week, that last one has not changed much at all in the last four months.


Here's the beg wieners in the SP 500 this week, I really thought AMZN would be numeral UNO but that went to SNDK, just barely beating out ISRG, there's a bunch of big muthas on that list, some folks made some huge money this week betting on long calls, oh, I'm sorry, I didn't mean "betting", I meant, of course, "inwesting".


Here's the loser's, Ya Know, I, LOVE, FCX, but the damn thing could be another BTU for all I know, sigh, same thing with NEM, easily the best of breed in the GDX. By the way, it's not on the list, but it's about time that CAT got slapped around a little, I haven't talked to one single farmer that says he's buying any new equipment in the next decade. especially with crap like THIS going on:


Geeze, complete round trip and new lows in the grain complex in like three weeks.
15 stocks finished with 52 wk highs and 53 at lows vs 25 and 24 last week, 28 at 20 day highs and 139 at lows vs 51 and 57 last week, 193 closed with a Silver cross vs 200 last week, 2 stocks finished with an RSI above 80, CMG and AMZN, 19 with an RSI under 20, 179 closed above RSI 50 and 318 below vs 281 and 218 last week.

Monday, July 20, 2015

"POSSIBLE" TRADE "IDEAS" FOR WEEK OF 7/20/2015

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Signals Click Here!

AAL- LONG IDEA

MSM- LONG IDEA

JAH- LONG IDEA

STOCK TRADING IS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO YOUR FINANCIAL HEALTH AND IF YOU TAKE ANY OF THESE TRADE IDEAS AND HAVE NO COMPREHENSIVE TRADING PLAN OR NO STOPS IN PLACE YOU WILL UNDOUBTEDLY LOSE ALL OF YOUR MONEY, PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER AND PRIVACY POLICY AT THE BOTTOM OF THE WEB SITE. I MAY ALSO HAVE A POSITION IN THE SECURITIES MENTIONED AND I MAY BE PUMPING THEM HOPING TO FIND A SUCKER TO TAKE IT OFF MY HANDS AT HIGHER (OR LOWER) PRICES (JUST LIKE GOLDMAN SACHS, HAH!).
TAKE ONLY THE OPPORTUNITIES THAT YOU REALLY LIKE AND UNDERSTAND. ALWAYS ENTER A TRADE WITH A TRADING PLAN. THE PRIMARY FOCUS IS TO FIND SWING TRADES BY USING INTRADAY SETUPS THAT HAVE A POTENTIAL TO BECOME SWING TRADES. OUR MAIN FOCUS AS TRADERS IS TO TAKE HIGH PROBABILITY AND R/R TRADES AND CONTROL OUR RISK.
Further, any opinions, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this blog page is provided for educational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice or solicitations to trade. Please consult your investment adviser before committing any actual funds to the markets. 

Friday, July 17, 2015

WEEKLY WRAP UP FOR 7/17/2015


The $NYSI and $NYAD's remain on buy signals, as well as the $NYMO, I have the $NAAD's on that chart to kind of illustrate the "FUNNY" stuff going on in the "MARKETS", as the $COMPQ closed at ALL TIME HIGHS today, the SPX closed higher, and yet FinVIZ had 2295 advancing issues vs a whooping 4481 DECLINING ISSUES, AND, 275 new highs vs 339 new lows, and on my own Market Monitor, which only has 3029 stocks in it, only 60 were 4% higher today while 114 were 4% lower, Ya know, "FUNNY" stuff like that. In days of Yore the markets would have crashed in the coming days, but in the new normal of massive Central Bank manipulations we will probably crash to the UP side in the coming days, wad ever.


The $NYHL "tried" to get a positive cross over but got reeeeeeeeee ......... JECTED, but any positive close on Monday will give a buy signal on that as well.


The Bullish Percent indexes on all the major indexes look like, well, pure dog shit.


In 12 fairly important markets we have 3 with a Silver Cross, 20 SMA above 50 SMA, IWM, $USD  and $TNX, with the last two being just wonderful things to be leading the pack, hahahaha, interest rates and the dollar, the $COMPQ and QQQ are like dead nuts on the cross over, with the rest in a death cross.


Here's the beg wiener's in my 77 markets this week, the NasDOGS blew every one away, QQQ up 5.52% on the week, with XLK 4.83%, all because of GOOG as noted below, it kind of makes those "FUNNY" stats up there all the more funnier when you see a massive gain like this in the indexes, the SPY gained 2.41%, TLT 2.30%, as "inwestor's" piled into "RISK ON" assets and "SAFE ON" assets at the same time, hahahahaha, what a bunch of flakes, DIA was up 1.76%, and the IWM brought up the rear, ONLY, up 1.28% for the week, or 66.56% on a yearly basis. I don't mention XIV, up 19.17%, as that's not for the faint of heart.


And here's the loser's, with VXX and QID making perfect sense as the "winners", GDX got ripped for 7.88%, XME, SLV, USO, OIH, GLD all getting beaten up pretty good, oil is going down of course in order to provide the launching pad for the much touted WORLD WIDE ECONOMIC BOOM expected by all those Ahole Central bankers.
7 indexes finished at 20 day highs and 11 at 20 day lows vs 1 and 2 last week, and 13 finished with a Silver Cross vs 14 last week, just, NOT, much movement for all the gains made by the major indexes. The $NYSE had 63 stocks close on a PSAR by and 145 on a sell, again, kind of "FUNNY" as Thursday had 169 on a buy and 76 on a sell, 224 closed on a buy last week with 24 on a sell, sigh, 109 closed at new 52 week highs and 190 at lows vs 52 and 48 last week, 58 closed on a CCI buy and 185 on a sell vs 142 and 13 last week.


Here's the big winner's in the SP 500 this week, GOOG of course is the main reason for all those big gains in the indexes this week, it set a record in market cap gains on Friday,  rising some 15%, and the reason it did was it beat EPS estimates by 3.7% and missed on revenues, you can thank your lucky stars that I wasn't invested in it as it would have gone DOWN off those numbers. NFLX went up another 18% this week, CELG went up 13% and gets the nod for the best "COSTANZA" stock this week, as before the CB interventions the ACQUIRER usually went DOWN after shelling out for another outfit, wad ever.
Wooo hooo, I did catch the 8.38% in BAC.............
25 stocks closed at 52 wk highs and 24 at lows vs 18 and 13 last week, 51 at 20 day highs and 57 at lows vs 41 and 33 last week, 200 closed on a Silver cross vs 203 last week, all pretty flat stats, 5 closed with an RSI over 80 and 3 under 20 vs 14 and 8 last week, 281 had an RSI above 50 and 218 under 50 vs 228 and 271 last week, all remarkably unremarkable numbers.


KR had a stock split so that's a false number, CNX had a split as well.............. oh, wait, no it didn't, hahahahaha, as you would expect with the commodity weakness there's a lot of those stocks on the list, like CNX, ATI, NEM, RIB, NE, MUR, KLAC and AMAT, oh, wait, they aren't commodity stocks, although their business is commoditized ............... I have no idea why KORS and COH were both down, I thought the 1% can't get their hands on their stuff fast enough.

Sunday, July 12, 2015

"POSSIBLE" TRADE "IDEAS" FOR WEEK OF 7/13/2015

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Signals Click Here!

HIGH RISK MARKET, CAUTION IS ADVISED!!
ALKS- LONG IDEA

ISLE- LONG IDEA

LSTR- LONG IDEA

WY- SHORT IDEA


ATU- SHORT IDEA

STOCK TRADING IS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO YOUR FINANCIAL HEALTH AND IF YOU TAKE ANY OF THESE TRADE IDEAS AND HAVE NO COMPREHENSIVE TRADING PLAN OR NO STOPS IN PLACE YOU WILL UNDOUBTEDLY LOSE ALL OF YOUR MONEY, PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER AND PRIVACY POLICY AT THE BOTTOM OF THE WEB SITE. I MAY ALSO HAVE A POSITION IN THE SECURITIES MENTIONED AND I MAY BE PUMPING THEM HOPING TO FIND A SUCKER TO TAKE IT OFF MY HANDS AT HIGHER (OR LOWER) PRICES (JUST LIKE GOLDMAN SACHS, HAH!).
TAKE ONLY THE OPPORTUNITIES THAT YOU REALLY LIKE AND UNDERSTAND. ALWAYS ENTER A TRADE WITH A TRADING PLAN. THE PRIMARY FOCUS IS TO FIND SWING TRADES BY USING INTRADAY SETUPS THAT HAVE A POTENTIAL TO BECOME SWING TRADES. OUR MAIN FOCUS AS TRADERS IS TO TAKE HIGH PROBABILITY AND R/R TRADES AND CONTROL OUR RISK.
Further, any opinions, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this blog page is provided for educational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice or solicitations to trade. Please consult your investment adviser before committing any actual funds to the markets. 

CAUTION IS ADVISED!!

http://www.trapshooters.com/uploads/train222_2008_03031791.jpg

WEEKLY UPDATE FOR 2/10/2015

 In 12 fairly important markets we had three markets that are currently on a Silver Cross, 20 SMA above 50 SMA, that's the IWM, $TNX, and the dollar, $USD, which just made a new positive cross, the $COMPQ is sitting within a knat's ass of a death cross, and the rest are all on death crosses, DIA, SPY, QQQ, $TRAN, $NYA, $CRB, TLT, AND GLD.


HOWEVER, the main men, the $NYAD's, gave a buy signal on Friday, I just hope it's not another whip saw like late June, the $NYA double bottomed on the March lows and I'll be damned if the $NYAD's didn't do the same thing, which is, "BAD", as you would LIKE to see the $NYAD's leading us higher.


The $NYSI is still on a solid SELL signal, although, they did hook a little higher on Friday.


Here's one I don't show very often, mainly because it doesn't give signals very often, but that's the $NYHL, it's been on a sell signal since the start of July, and the last sell signal was way back in December. It would be, NICE, to see this turn back around.


Here's the beg wiener's in my 77 markets this week, kind of a weak week as the Germans, EWG, topped it at 3.07%, we had none of our major markets on the first page but some of our sectors made the list like XLP, XLU, IYR XLY, XLV,  and IYT. Our best major was the little guys, IWM up .27%, DIA .19%, then SPY, up a massive .08%, with the QQQ bringing up the rear, down a MASSIVE .28%. All those numbers are a little deceiving though as there was massive swings back and forth, mostly from huge gaps created by Goldman and their cohorts on Da Street as they tried to get the retails to chase it while they faded it after the actual open, as these over loved, over owned, and over hyped markets try and sort themselves out.
You notice I didn't say "over valued", hahahaha, as every talking head on Bubblevision says that with the MASSIVE 2.12% pull back off the ATH's the market is now "FAIRLY" valued. Of course, I also heard one of them say the same thing about the pull back in CHINA, which I guess is, RELATIVELY, true, as I guess it's more "FAIRLY" valued at the current 40 P/E than it was when it was in the 80's.


Speaking of CHINA, they were the big loser this week, FXI down a DEVIL of a lot at -6.66%...... hahahahaha......... of course those godless commie bastards are the devil themselves any way, oil also had a DEVIL of a time this week with USO down the same amount.  Ya know, until stuff like XME stops going down I really don't see why we should go blasting higher, XME down 5.57%, although Alkie, AA, tried it's best to help it higher after missing earnings, as it rose a little bit off the miss, it did beat on revenue.
One market finished at a 20 day high, XLP, vs 2 last week, 2 finished at 20 day lows, EIS and GDX, vs 5 last week, 14 finished with a Silver cross vs 15 last week, not much change in the stat's, 249 stocks on the NYSE finished on a PSAR buy signal vs 114 and 24 on a PSAR sell vs 61 last week, big improvement there, 52 finished with 52 wk highs vs 51 and 48 at new lows vs 80 last week, 142 finished with a CCI buy signal and 13 on a sell vs 70 and 72 last week.


Here's the beg wiener's in the SP 500 this week, is WBA the Women's basketball Association?? VLO blasted higher as I guess higher gas prices are on the way, GCI was third which surprised me, surprised because I didn't think there were any newspapers left in the Country.


There was no joy in JOY, down 10.12% on the week to "lead" the loser's, FCX was UP at one point Friday but gave it all back, and then some, another one of those material stocks flying higher because of the WorldWide Economic boom I guess. Hhhhmmmm, APA and RIG say oil is NOT going to go higher, who to believe, VLO or them.............
18 stocks closed on 52 wk highs and 13 on lows vs 18 and 7 last week, 41 on 20 day highs and 33 on lows vs 33 and 52 last week, 203 closed on a Silver cross vs 208 last week, 14 closed with an RSI 14 above 80 vs 3 last week, 8 with an RSI below 20 vs 5, 228 with an RSI above 50 and 271 below 50 vs 179 and 322, so that was good, but pretty much flat stat's on the week.

Don't forget, the last few Mondays have lost about a thousand points, hahahahaha, maybe it changes this week, earnings get going in earnest so there will be some decent over night gaps in individual stocks.

http://www.trapshooters.com/uploads/train222_2008_03031788.jpg

Friday, July 03, 2015

TRADE "IDEAS" FOR MONDAY 7/6/2015

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Signals Click Here!



The blue circle used to be called a "KNEE KICK", we 
would get a drop (rise), then get a weak rally (fade), 
then get the hammer in the knew and drop in a
 "continuation" or "equal move" scenario. 
Of course, that was back in the days before MASSIVE
 FED and Government manipulation of the "free"
 markets, so who fricking knows what will happen. 

MOS- LONG IDEA

LULU- LONG IDEA

TFM- SHORT IDEA

STOCK TRADING IS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO YOUR FINANCIAL HEALTH AND IF YOU TAKE ANY OF THESE TRADE IDEAS AND HAVE NO COMPREHENSIVE TRADING PLAN OR NO STOPS IN PLACE YOU WILL UNDOUBTEDLY LOSE ALL OF YOUR MONEY, PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER AND PRIVACY POLICY AT THE BOTTOM OF THE WEB SITE. I MAY ALSO HAVE A POSITION IN THE SECURITIES MENTIONED AND I MAY BE PUMPING THEM HOPING TO FIND A SUCKER TO TAKE IT OFF MY HANDS AT HIGHER (OR LOWER) PRICES (JUST LIKE GOLDMAN SACHS, HAH!).
TAKE ONLY THE OPPORTUNITIES THAT YOU REALLY LIKE AND UNDERSTAND. ALWAYS ENTER A TRADE WITH A TRADING PLAN. THE PRIMARY FOCUS IS TO FIND SWING TRADES BY USING INTRADAY SETUPS THAT HAVE A POTENTIAL TO BECOME SWING TRADES. OUR MAIN FOCUS AS TRADERS IS TO TAKE HIGH PROBABILITY AND R/R TRADES AND CONTROL OUR RISK.
Further, any opinions, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this blog page is provided for educational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice or solicitations to trade. Please consult your investment adviser before committing any actual funds to the markets. 

CAUTION IS ADVISED!!


FIRST HALF AND WEEKLY WRAP UP FOR 7/2/2015


Soooooo, for the first half of the year the DIA, SPY, $TRAN, $NYA, $CRB and the $USD all ended with Silver DEATH crosses, the 20 SMA under the 50 SMA, the $COMPQ, IWM and $TNX all ended with bullish Silver set ups, not shown are the NasDOGS, QQQ, which just in the last couple of days had a Death cross.
One weirdo is the IWM and $TNX BOTH higher, as the general consensus is that SMALL CAPS don't like fricking HIGHER interest rates, BUTT, I guess they DO!! 

I got into FinVIZ to do the weekly stats and, WOW, what beautiful SET UPS!! They all had rounded bottoms on their intra-day patterns on Friday..............MMMMMMMMMMMMMMM........ ROOOOOOOOOOO...DED......... BOTTOMS........ I like 'em! Of course, I guess the fate of the world lies with the Greek voters, but, HEY, I hear Greek's LIKE rounded bottoms as much as me........


Putin was the beg wiener in my 76 markets in the first half of the year, RSX up a whooping 25.12%, with EWJ at 12%, EIRL and EIS right behind at almost 12%, with the surprise, to ME, that China was in sixth place, FXI up 11.42%. You have to go a ways to find our major markets, actually, our dollar was the big winner, UUP plus 4.51%, it was behind the SLV, XHB and XLY sectors, as of Friday the best major was the NasDOGS, QQQ up 4.79%, IWM 3.81%, SPY 1.81%, with the big boys bringing up the rear, DIA up a whooping .63%.


Here's the big loser's in the first half, it's amazing, our majors were hardly up, like the SPY and DIA, and yet that stinking VXX was down almost 30 fricking percent, I mean, I've said it before and I'll say it a million times more, that thing STINKS!!!!! XLU was our worst sector, actually worst that the IYT to some what of a surprise, down 14% vs 11.84%, IYR was down 7%, with a kind of surprising TLT "ONLY" down 5.26%, I thought it would be worse. like XLE only down 5.26%, it's kind of weird to see XLI down 5% while the DIA was flat, but that just goes to show with the changes in the DIA in more like the XLF than the XLI!!!!


Here's the big winners in the SP 500 for the first half, and....


Here's the big loser's......



Both the $NYAD and $NYSI remain on pretty solid sell signals, the more important $NYAD's hit the low made back in March while the $NYA is still ABOVE that low, which I consider NOT good as the $NYAD's are leading us LOWER, but, that could all change in an instant I guess....


Only 16 of my 77 markets were higher this week, and four of those were inverse funds, the one I spent all that time ragging on up above was the big winner, hahahahahahaha, VXX up 14.38%, DBA, XLU, UUP, DBC, IYR, BND were all higher on the week, and that's.......................... it.........


Another WILD THING, XIV, was the big loser this week, down 15.98%, XME and USO were commodity loser's with the higher dollar, SMH was our big sector loser down 4.29%, our worst major is on the list, IWM down 3.17%, QQQ down 1.86%, SPY -1.2% and DIA -.88%. Europe was just a little wild this week, EWG was up like 4% on Thursday alone and yet finished -3.91% on the week.
2 markets finished the week on 20 day highs, EPI and DBA, vs 1 last week, 5 on 20 day lows vs 11 last wk, 15 finished with a Silver cross vs 22 last wk, that 15 was the lowest number of Silver crosses in my 77 markets since last October, which of course was a bottom back then.
The $NYSE closed with 114 stocks on PSAR buy signals vs 52 last wk, 61 on PSAR sell signals vs 271, 51 had 52 wk highs vs 78 last wk, 80 52 wk lows vs 56, 70 on CCI buys vs 48 and 72 CCI sells vs 278 last week, so the "breath" was a little better.


Here's the big winners in the SP 500 this week, and..........


Here's the losers, only 11 stocks in the SP up over 4% this week seems a little weak to me, but, HEY, who am I to say, AA starts earnings season on Wednesday, it didn't make the list as it was "only" down 4% on the week, down about 35% since it started MAKING money after the 2 BILLION dollar loss, sssoooooooo. if they LOSE a couple of BIL, buy the ever loving shit out of it!!! It made a nice effort to hold $11 on Friday, an actual green candle, so, who knows, that's almost back where it started it's run after the big loss, sssoooooooo........... I don't know what to say.

China's Stock Market Rollercoaster Ride Continues
But there is a way to endure the wild ride -- with Elliott wave analysis

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