Tuesday, March 31, 2015

FIRST QUARTER PERFORMANCE

FIRST QUARTER PERFORMANCE IN THE 76 MARKETS I KEEP TRACK OF, AND CONGRATULATIONS TO PUTIN FOR FINISHING IN FIRST PLACE, THE SPY AND DIA FINISHED DOWN IN THE FIRST QUARTER:





Monday, March 30, 2015

TRADE "IDEAS" FOR WEEK OF 3/30/2015

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Signals Click Here!

CLGX- LONG IDEA

GNRC- LONG IDEA

NUAN- LONG IDEA

WAB- LONG IDEA

STOCK TRADING IS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO YOUR FINANCIAL HEALTH AND IF YOU TAKE ANY OF THESE TRADE IDEAS AND HAVE NO COMPREHENSIVE TRADING PLAN OR NO STOPS IN PLACE YOU WILL UNDOUBTEDLY LOSE ALL OF YOUR MONEY, PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER AND PRIVACY POLICY AT THE BOTTOM OF THE WEB SITE. I MAY ALSO HAVE A POSITION IN THE SECURITIES MENTIONED AND I MAY BE PUMPING THEM HOPING TO FIND A SUCKER TO TAKE IT OFF MY HANDS AT HIGHER (OR LOWER) PRICES (JUST LIKE GOLDMAN SACHS, HAH!).
TAKE ONLY THE OPPORTUNITIES THAT YOU REALLY LIKE AND UNDERSTAND. ALWAYS ENTER A TRADE WITH A TRADING PLAN. THE PRIMARY FOCUS IS TO FIND SWING TRADES BY USING INTRADAY SETUPS THAT HAVE A POTENTIAL TO BECOME SWING TRADES. OUR MAIN FOCUS AS TRADERS IS TO TAKE HIGH PROBABILITY AND R/R TRADES AND CONTROL OUR RISK.
Further, any opinions, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this blog page is provided for educational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice or solicitations to trade. Please consult your investment adviser before committing any actual funds to the markets. 

CAUTION IS ADVISED!!

Friday, March 27, 2015

WEEKLY WRAP UP


I have the Q's on there as they are pretty typical, basically it's a failed break out of the prior high and it made a lower high on the last high. The red box shows the BBSqueeze increasing momentum on the sell signal plus the WoodiesCCI has been on a three day sell signal. What, MIGHT, happen here is a "KNEE KICK", where we get the big drop on Wednesday, we bounce for two or three days, then resume the down trend, probably on an "Equal Move", which might be targeting the 200 MA around 100.




Tlhe $NYAD's, $NYSI and $NYMO are all on sell signals, but they are very weak signals and subject to a whip saw on any kind of up day next week.


USO made a surprise showing this week as the big winner of the non-inverse funds in my 76 markets, up 4.32%, all the first page winner's were foreign markets, besides OIH the only other domestic market that was a winner was JUNK, JNK up a massive .03%, which pretty much sums up the week.


This is a list of markets that are leading YTD,  as the quarter ends on Tuesday this might change but I won't be around. In a SHOCKING upset Putin was the big winner, RSX up 13.60%, followed by Japan, EWJ 13.26%, and then Ireland in third, EIRL up 10.17%. You have to go clear down to the bottom of the list for our first major market winner, which is BONDS, TLT up 4.50%, XHB was our best sector, up 6.10%. Our best stock market was IWM, up 2.91%, then the Nas-DOGS, QQQ up 2.20%, SPY up .54%, and the big dog DIA's basically flat at minus .07%.
For the week 2 markets closed with 20 day highs vs 14 last week, and 1 at lows vs 1 last week, 38 closed with a golden cross, 20 SMA above 50 SMA, vs 44 last week, 45 NYSE stocks closed with a PSAR buy signal vs 278 last week, 119 on sell vs 12 last week, 51 closed at 52 wk highs vs 365 last week, and 24 on new lows vs 31, pretty weak stats compared to last week and much weaker compared to two weeks ago.


The loser's this week were every one other than the ones on that upper table, the transports got slaughtered on the higher oil I guess, IYT down 5.08% on the week, I didn't know that Semiconductors used oil, hahahahaha, SMH down 4.07%, I guess IYR was down 3.60% because the 30 year yield increased to a MASSIVE 2.527%, up 1% on the week, speaking of UUP it was DOWN this week, not much, but I thought all the market weakness was supposed to be because of the dollar going HIGHER?? The Q's were the big winner on our loser's list, down 2.77%, actually XLF was but I won't talk about them for personal reasons, hahahaha..... sigh, DIA AND IWM were both down 2.29%, kind of strange as most market mavens claim that one will ALWAYS outperform the other, wad ever, SPY was the big winner, ONLY down 2.22%.


Here's the loser's for the YTD, this should be saying a LOT to retail investor's about what an absolutely HORRIBLE "investment" VXX is, as it is the leader at minus 18.31% YTD, god, what a piece of crap, I mean the SPY and DIA are basically flat and this thing got killed. Most of the typical stuff we've seen on the losers list all there are on that list, USO, TUR, XME, DBA, FXE, UNG, IYT is actually a LATE entry and that entire loss for the year was this week.



Here's the winner's for the week, at top, and YTD in the S and P 500, the one that really surprised me YTD was FSLR, as I was thinking was a piece of junk that thing was, what I had been thinking was the PRIOR performance, hahahahaha, and I was right in a sense, it actually lost 45% last September into the second trading day of the year, and then rallied out after that, totally missed it, but once it proved such a piece of shit it totally left any of my lists and my mind.



And here's the loser's for the week at the top and YTD on the bottom,  25% of that 33.83% loss in SNDK was this week, mostly composed of the expected energy names with a few surprises like MU, HPQ, AA, STX, PVH, TIF, they will probably be the leaders in the next quarter, like I said last week AA as to stop making money and go back to losing a couple of billion, hahahahaha........

Nice job by "StockSpotter" this week, , 220 winners with 42 loser's, I personally don't know what to do with it though as 262 trades is WAY out of my ball park, and if I cherry pick I will undoubtedly only pick the 42 LOSER's, sigh, but wad ever, it's pretty useful tool to keep track of. 

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Wednesday, March 25, 2015

TRADE "IDEAS" FOR WEEK OF 3/23/2015

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Signals Click Here!

IBKR- LONG IDEA

NDLS- LONG IDEA

ELGX-LONG IDEA

BC-SHORT IDEA


QCOM-SHORT IDEA

STOCK TRADING IS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO YOUR FINANCIAL HEALTH AND IF YOU TAKE ANY OF THESE TRADE IDEAS AND HAVE NO COMPREHENSIVE TRADING PLAN OR NO STOPS IN PLACE YOU WILL UNDOUBTEDLY LOSE ALL OF YOUR MONEY, PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER AND PRIVACY POLICY AT THE BOTTOM OF THE WEB SITE. I MAY ALSO HAVE A POSITION IN THE SECURITIES MENTIONED AND I MAY BE PUMPING THEM HOPING TO FIND A SUCKER TO TAKE IT OFF MY HANDS AT HIGHER (OR LOWER) PRICES (JUST LIKE GOLDMAN SACHS, HAH!).
TAKE ONLY THE OPPORTUNITIES THAT YOU REALLY LIKE AND UNDERSTAND. ALWAYS ENTER A TRADE WITH A TRADING PLAN. THE PRIMARY FOCUS IS TO FIND SWING TRADES BY USING INTRADAY SETUPS THAT HAVE A POTENTIAL TO BECOME SWING TRADES. OUR MAIN FOCUS AS TRADERS IS TO TAKE HIGH PROBABILITY AND R/R TRADES AND CONTROL OUR RISK.
Further, any opinions, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this blog page is provided for educational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice or solicitations to trade. Please consult your investment adviser before committing any actual funds to the markets. 

CAUTION IS ADVISED!!

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Monday, March 23, 2015

WEEKLY WRAP UP


You, COULD, say the NYSE has created a year long "DARVAS BOX", you could say that, you could, it actually is fairly close accept for that little dump in September to October, it also meets one of the requirements of Darvas and that is it is working on new all time highs, or just a new 52 week high will work. 
To have true boxes, of course, you have to have consecutive boxes following each other, and on the weekly chart you have no PRIOR box, sooooo......, it's not a Darvas. I was looking at this after our friends at  http://www.stocktiming.com/ had their Friday update, he's concerned this is a failed double top last September and then it's a failed triple top break out from last month, and with out a huge volume break out on the next test it will be a QUAD-druple failed break out attempt, so "prudent" investor's should be hedging themselves on the next attempt.
PERSONALLY, I think it's going to do the same thing as the IWM and break out, it's the same pattern if you look at them, the NYSE is just lagging in time frames. The problems I see is that if you use an "Equal Move" scenario for the box you only get about a 4.6% move for the break out, even if you use the October low for the "box" you still only come up with 10%, which is a nice gain  for the year, but it just seems like a lot of risk for the huge amount of resistance at that prior top. 

ANYWAY, forget the QUAD tops and all that crap, the, REAL, problem, is:
BEWARE THE SHEMITAH!!!

Prepare-We are at the Verge of Collapse Says Jonathan ...


Hahahahaha, I'm laughing because I started watching that video as a joke after it popped up on my Youtube feed, but I stopped laughing when I saw the NUMBERS he was talking about, pretty amazing stuff. 
I'm just hoping I can get my 10% off the NYA before I go into my cave this fall!!


Sooooo... as I do, EVERY WEEK, I'm watching the weekly Farm Report on RFD TV,  http://www.agweb.com/usfr/ , and, THIS IS IT!!!! Really!! HONEST!!
Hahahaha, the "experts" this week are saying that the next two months are historically bullish for crop prices, and with the drop in  the dollar and some potentially bullish planting predictions and foreign yields less than expected, the bottom, MIGHT, be in!
Number one, a ONE DAY drop in the dollar does not a trend make, and the bullish "Predictions" for planting and yields are just that, guesses, but the way I see it, now is as good a time as any.
I should tell you that last week on this very same show the "experts" were saying to use ANY rally to LOCK IN PRICES, so you should be aware that the producers, IE, FARMERS, may cap the rally pretty quickly, ALSO, the DBA is not all crops, it's got hogs and cattle futures in it as well, which may be due for a fall.
Naturally, I will limit my risk by using options, "probably" by buying the July $23 strike calls for .70 cents, and will try to sell some April premium if we get lucky and it goes up enough.


The "leading" index, easily, is the little guys, IWM, having broken out over every thing, with nothing but sunshine and lollipops ahead, they may be a little over bought as the daily has closed outside of the upper bollinger three days in a row and closed outside the bollinger on the weekly chart as well, which is a typical pause area, but, HEY, we may never "pause" again if Grandma Yellin has her way.
Oh, did I say "LEADING" index?? Here's what I REALLY meant:

 They are leading the charge in MULTIPLE EXPANSION, IE, "EXPENSIVE", as shown on the WSJ site, and I remember last year at this time when peeps were yelling and screaming about the UN-FRICKING-believeable P/E of 83.69, and they promptly pulled back 10% into the end of May, but, HEY, I see no problem with that 89.27, Janet can get it MUCH HIGHER, WOOOOO HOOOOOO! By the by, the P/E got down in the 50's when we started to end the decline, so........


The $NYAD's had a pretty quick whip saw back into a buy signal, and are actually LEADING the NYSE higher by just a little bit, a good sign, HOWEVER:


I was REALLY surprised to see the $NYSI and $NYMO still on sell signals, hhhhhmmmmmmm, a little weakness under the surface, but a couple of more up days will give a new buy signal.


 After being the eight worst market in my 76 markets last week Turkey moved to the lead this week, TUR up 10.22% on the week, right ahead of last weeks big WINNER of the LOSER'S list, EWZ, up 7.61%, 4% of that on Friday, so I guess "mean reversion" really is a working phrase. SLV and GDX were both up about 7%, I only mention them because I don't see GLD on the first page, you have to go to the third page, up 2.43% in 50th spot. IYR was our best sector this week, up 5.33%, as the thirty year yield dropped 7% this week after Chairperson Yelling said the economy was just about the worst she had ever seen, while also failing to take any credit for it.
14 markets finished at 20 day highs vs 3 last week, 4 at 20 day lows vs 30 last week, 44 were on a golden cross, 20 SMA above 50 SMA, vs 55 last week, some thing to think about, 278 NYSE stocks finished with a PSAR buy vs 98 last week, and 12 on a PSAR sell vs 63, so some good strength there, there were 365 new 52 wk highs vs 84 last week and 31 new lows vs 117 last week.


There were only 7 markets lower and 4 of those were inverse funds, USO was down 2.2% on the week and XLB 1.22% on the week.
I didn't mention any of the majors because none of them were on that first page above, TLT was the best major, hahahahahaha, up 3.78%, then the NasDOGS were the best stock index, QQQ up 3.03% for the week, IWM 2.76%, SPY 2.23%, with the DIA bringing up the rear at 1.91%, which is "ONLY" about 54% a year, just your typical gains.


Bio-techs ruled the roost in the S and P 500 this week, with BIIB, REGN and AMGN the top three gainers, then we had a couple of those mean reversion thingey's, like RIG and NBR.
The S and P closed with 89 new highs vs 22 last week, and 0, that's ZERO, new lows vs 17, 125 on new 20 day highs vs 33 last week, and 3 new lows vs 105 last week, they were ARG, MOS and PX for any bottom fishers, 348 closed on a golden cross vs 364, another strange reading, 5 closed with an RSI 14 over 80 vs 2 last week, and for the upteenth week in a row we had NO stocks with an RSI under 20, just amazing stuff, I get the feeling when that streak ends it will end with a BANG, 366 closed with an RSI above 50 vs 202 last week, and 136 under 50 vs 300 last week.


Once again I'm a little surprised at the loser's, DD down 7.65%, AA 4.42%, MAT, NFLX, EBAY, BAC and C, etc etc etc.

Sunday, March 15, 2015

TRADE "IDEAS" FOR WEEK OF 3/16/2015

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Signals Click Here!

CYTK- LONG IDEA

SUNE- LONG IDEA

CROX-LONG IDEA

HCN-SHORT IDEA


MTZ-SHORT IDEA

STOCK TRADING IS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO YOUR FINANCIAL HEALTH AND IF YOU TAKE ANY OF THESE TRADE IDEAS AND HAVE NO COMPREHENSIVE TRADING PLAN OR NO STOPS IN PLACE YOU WILL UNDOUBTEDLY LOSE ALL OF YOUR MONEY, PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER AND PRIVACY POLICY AT THE BOTTOM OF THE WEB SITE. I MAY ALSO HAVE A POSITION IN THE SECURITIES MENTIONED AND I MAY BE PUMPING THEM HOPING TO FIND A SUCKER TO TAKE IT OFF MY HANDS AT HIGHER (OR LOWER) PRICES (JUST LIKE GOLDMAN SACHS, HAH!).
TAKE ONLY THE OPPORTUNITIES THAT YOU REALLY LIKE AND UNDERSTAND. ALWAYS ENTER A TRADE WITH A TRADING PLAN. THE PRIMARY FOCUS IS TO FIND SWING TRADES BY USING INTRADAY SETUPS THAT HAVE A POTENTIAL TO BECOME SWING TRADES. OUR MAIN FOCUS AS TRADERS IS TO TAKE HIGH PROBABILITY AND R/R TRADES AND CONTROL OUR RISK.
Further, any opinions, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this blog page is provided for educational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice or solicitations to trade. Please consult your investment adviser before committing any actual funds to the markets. 

CAUTION IS ADVISED!!

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WEEKLY WRAP UP



The IWM is the only major that is working on a "Squeeze", in the red circle, the "Squeeze" doesn't give the direction, it just says that a big move is coming, the Woodies CCI under that is saying the move will be down, but I'm not counting on it with that bar we had today, where we sold off hard, under yesterday's open, and then rallied into the close.


The SPY is typical for the other majors, it didn't have a Squeeze but it has triggered a sell signal on the Squeeze bar with a confirmation from Woodies. This has a pretty obvious "Equal Move" scenario setting up on it, if it can break lower than Wednesday's low the "move" points to the 200 DMA at $200.
That's if we go down of course.


The $NYAD's had a little blip on the big up day on Thursday but maintained the sell signal and turned back down today.


The $NYHL's have been in a strong up trend since December but have just barely given a new sell signal, the last time this triggered was the September-October pull back and again in December. It's a very weak signal right now and any up day on Monday will negate it.


My "Market Monitor" did some thing a little strange on Friday, the number of stocks up higher than 4% INCREASED on Friday, from 281 to 354, while the number DOWN 4% decreased from 561 to 436, this is out of 2900+ stocks. In the past, this has not boded well in the short term for the Bear's, or the Bull's in the opposite case.


Here's the big winner's in my 76 markets this week, the top two are inverse funds, then we have our major market winner, bonds, TLT up 2.61%, then our best sector which was real estate, IYR up 1.82%, as they loved the lower interest rates. IWM showed up on the list, up 1.19%, none of the other majors were on the first page, in fact none of the other majors were UP on the week, DIA was next, down .47%, then SPY at minus .81%, with the QQQ's bringing up the rear at minus 1.93%, quite an under performance by the Nas-DOGS! A couple of notable mentions on the list include EWJ and EIRL, they are up 11.03% and 8.13% YTD, I mention this because one of the major financial news papers ran a big article about how Germany was just blowing every other Country away this year, hahahahahahaha, EWG shows 6.49% on that page, although I could be wrong, typical dumb shit financial "news" papers.


Here's the top 20 winner's in the loser's list of my 76 markets, 56 of them were lower on the week, the REALLY big winner was Brazil, down 8.21%, they haven't seen a "2" as their first number since 2008, they closed thiws week at $29.31, the big difference between now and 2008 of course is that they topped at $70+ in 2011 and it's taken four years to get to this point, while back in 2008 it took five MONTHS to go from $80 to $29, I'm "SURE" they are probably close to a bottom, really......... HONEST! I guess oil is a big part of the problem, as USO was down 7.89% and took RSX and OIH down with it, although we are the third biggest producers in the world and we didn't go down, much.........., it's amazing what a little financial "engineering" can do for your stock markets.
Only three markets closed on a 20 day high vs 2 last week, the only non inverse fund on the list was EWJ, 30 closed at 20 day lows vs 24 last week, and 55 closed on a golden cross, 20 ma above 50 ma, vs 60 last week. 98 NYSE stocks closed with a PSAR buy signal vs 85 last week, 63 on sell signals vs 419 last week, another one of those divergences to go with the 4% up and down, 84 closed on a 52 wk high vs 57 last week, and 117 on a 52 wk low vs 58 last week.

Here's the big winner's in the S and P 500 for the week, URBN won this week off of good earnings.
22 S and P stocks finished on 52 wk highs vs 14 last week, 17 on lows vs 4, 33 on 20 day highs vs 39 and 105 on lows vs 118, 364 closed on a golden cross vs 360 last week, 2 closed with an RSI 14 above 80, HSP and URBN, ZERO with an RSI below 20, another bonanza for us slimy bottom fishers, 202 closed with their RSI above 50 vs 230 and 300 with their RSI below 50 vs 272 last week.


AVP led the list of S and P loser's this week, I'll say it, SOME ONE SHOULD PUT SOME LIP STICK ON THAT PIG! Another pig is RIG, as the bottom continues to be elusive, oil must not have been to kind to energy as I see a LOT of them on the list, one NOT expected to be on the list was Inkey, INTC, another was AA, down over 6%, which is REALLY strange for if you remember they lost over 2 BBBBILLION dollars at the start of the year in 2014 and promptly went on a fricking MOOOOOOOOOOOOOON...... SHOT..... and now they are MAKING money and.... well...... go figure, like I said, ain't financial "engineering" great stuff. By the way, they GAPPED down this week under $14, the chart looks lousy, here, I'll show it to you:


If they don't STOP making money and don't report another two billion dollar loss this next earning report they could be in deep Doo Doo!

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